Points
82Points expected by the market
78.26Gap
+3.74Yield
−3.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 27 | 67 | +0.22 | −6.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 10 | +2.47 | +27.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 5 | +1.06 | −16.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 15 | 38 | 0.00 | −6.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.28 | +96.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.60 | +151.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 12 | 29 | +0.22 | −5.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.19 | +4.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 2 | −0.54 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Rio Ave · Home9 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.35 | +0.35 |
| M2 | Nacional · Away17 Aug 2024 | W 6-1 | 3 | +0.53 | +0.88 |
| M3 | Farense · Away23 Aug 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.46 | +1.34 |
| M4 | Porto · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +2.62 |
| M5 | Arouca · Away13 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.52 | +3.14 |
| M6 | AVS · Home22 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.32 | +3.46 |
| M7 | Estoril · Away27 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.40 | +3.85 |
| M8 | Casa Pia · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.35 | +4.21 |
| M9 | Famalicao · Away26 Oct 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.61 | +4.82 |
| M10 | Estrela · Home1 Nov 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.26 | +5.08 |
| M11 | Sporting de Braga · Away10 Nov 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.99 | +6.07 |
| M12 | Santa Clara · Home30 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.49 | +3.58 |
| M13 | Moreirense · Away5 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.33 | +1.25 |
| M14 | Boavista · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.35 | +1.60 |
| M15 | Gil Vicente · Away22 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.28 | +0.31 |
| M16 | Benfica · Home29 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +1.91 |
| M17 | Guimaraes · Away3 Jan 2025 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.71 | +1.20 |
| M18 | Rio Ave · Away18 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.69 | +1.88 |
| M19 | Nacional · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.43 | +2.32 |
| M20 | Farense · Home2 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.43 | +2.75 |
| M21 | Porto · Away7 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +2.36 |
| M22 | Arouca · Home15 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.44 | +0.92 |
| M23 | AVS · Away23 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.28 | −0.36 |
| M24 | Estoril · Home3 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.64 | +0.28 |
| M25 | Casa Pia · Away9 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.85 | +1.13 |
| M26 | Famalicao · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.64 | +1.77 |
| M27 | Estrela · Away29 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.66 | +2.43 |
| M28 | Sporting de Braga · Home7 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.25 | +1.18 |
| M29 | Santa Clara · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +2.09 |
| M30 | Moreirense · Home18 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.40 | +2.49 |
| M31 | Boavista · Away27 Apr 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.40 | +2.90 |
| M32 | Gil Vicente · Home4 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.36 | +3.26 |
| M33 | Benfica · Away10 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | +3.11 |
| M34 | Guimaraes · Home17 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.63 | +3.74 |
| Total | 82 | +3.74 | |||