Points
66Points expected by the market
58.51Gap
+7.49Yield
+17.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 14 | −1.92 | −22.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 37 | +2.93 | +3.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 10 | +4.68 | +100.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 5 | +1.80 | +56.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 11 | −2.69 | −33.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 17 | +1.48 | +1.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.87 | +242.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.50 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.76 | +39.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 20 | +1.45 | +5.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 7 | +2.81 | +53.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +2.29 | +161.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Estrela · Home11 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.17 | −1.17 |
| M2 | Boavista · Away18 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.99 | −0.18 |
| M3 | Moreirense · Home25 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +0.90 |
| M4 | Gil Vicente · Away1 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.77 | +0.13 |
| M5 | Guimaraes · Home15 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.64 | −1.50 |
| M6 | Nacional · Away20 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.13 | −0.38 |
| M7 | Rio Ave · Home29 Sep 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +0.57 |
| M8 | Porto · Away6 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.62 | −0.05 |
| M9 | Farense · Home27 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.66 | +0.61 |
| M10 | Arouca · Away3 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +1.73 |
| M11 | Sporting CP · Home10 Nov 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.77 | +0.96 |
| M12 | AVS · Away1 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.76 | +1.72 |
| M13 | Estoril · Home6 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.47 | +0.25 |
| M14 | Famalicao · Home16 Dec 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.04 | −0.79 |
| M15 | Santa Clara · Away22 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +0.71 |
| M16 | Casa Pia · Home29 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.13 | −1.42 |
| M17 | Benfica · Away4 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.46 | +1.04 |
| M18 | Estrela · Away19 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +2.15 |
| M19 | Boavista · Home26 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.62 | +2.77 |
| M20 | Moreirense · Away3 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +4.23 |
| M21 | Gil Vicente · Home9 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +5.27 |
| M22 | Guimaraes · Away16 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | +5.12 |
| M23 | Nacional · Home21 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +6.03 |
| M24 | Rio Ave · Away2 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.75 | +4.28 |
| M25 | Porto · Home8 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | +6.16 |
| M26 | Farense · Away15 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +7.42 |
| M27 | Arouca · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +8.48 |
| M28 | Sporting CP · Away7 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.45 | +8.93 |
| M29 | AVS · Home13 Apr 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.80 | +9.73 |
| M30 | Estoril · Away19 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +10.85 |
| M31 | Famalicao · Away25 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | +10.20 |
| M32 | Santa Clara · Home3 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.87 | +9.33 |
| M33 | Casa Pia · Away10 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.11 | +7.22 |
| M34 | Benfica · Home17 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | +7.49 |
| Total | 66 | +7.49 | |||