Points
39Points expected by the market
37.79Gap
+1.21Yield
−27.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 15 | +3.15 | +17.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 19 | +1.91 | −1.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 5 | −3.85 | −74.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 15 | +3.15 | +17.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 8 | +1.36 | +1.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −0.17 | −28.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 11 | +0.55 | −2.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 2 | −3.68 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Moreirense · Away10 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −0.97 |
| M2 | Sporting de Braga · Home17 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.76 | −1.73 |
| M3 | Estrela · Away25 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.24 | −1.97 |
| M4 | Benfica · Home31 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.38 | −2.36 |
| M5 | Tondela · Home12 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −0.98 |
| M6 | Santa Clara · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −1.81 |
| M7 | Guimaraes · Home28 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.65 | −0.16 |
| M8 | AVS · Away4 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +1.32 |
| M9 | Gil Vicente · Home24 Oct 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.20 | +0.12 |
| M10 | Sporting CP · Away31 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.24 | −0.12 |
| M11 | Rio Ave · Home8 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −0.71 |
| M12 | Casa Pia · Away29 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +1.04 |
| M13 | Nacional · Home7 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +2.43 |
| M14 | Arouca · Away14 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | +0.94 |
| M15 | Porto · Home22 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.51 | +0.43 |
| M16 | Estoril · Away27 Dec 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.13 | −0.69 |
| M17 | Famalicao · Home4 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +1.24 |
| M18 | Moreirense · Home17 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +2.75 |
| M19 | Sporting de Braga · Away25 Jan 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.60 | +2.16 |
| M20 | Estrela · Home31 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | +1.39 |
| M21 | Benfica · Away8 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.32 | +1.07 |
| M22 | Tondela · Away13 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | +0.80 |
| M23 | Santa Clara · Home21 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +0.58 |
| M24 | Guimaraes · Away28 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.72 |
| M25 | AVS · Home7 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.94 | −0.22 |
| M26 | Gil Vicente · Away14 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.18 | −0.04 |
| M27 | Sporting CP · Home22 Mar 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.45 | −0.49 |
| M28 | Rio Ave · Away4 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +1.12 |
| M29 | Casa Pia · Home12 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.26 | +2.38 |
| M30 | Nacional · Away18 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | +1.21 |
| M31 | Arouca · Home24 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +2.64 |
| M32 | Porto · Away2 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.33 | +2.31 |
| M33 | Estoril · Home10 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | +1.93 |
| M34 | Famalicao · Away16 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.72 | +1.21 |
| Total | 39 | +1.21 | |||