Points
42Points expected by the market
36.59Gap
+5.41Yield
−4.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 9 | +2.29 | +50.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 27 | +7.27 | +45.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 6 | −4.15 | −68.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 9 | +2.29 | +50.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 14 | +4.53 | +58.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 2 | −1.94 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 13 | +2.74 | +34.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 4 | −2.21 | −47.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | AVS · Home9 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.11 | +1.11 |
| M2 | Sporting CP · Away17 Aug 2025 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.34 | +0.78 |
| M3 | Rio Ave · Home23 Aug 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.54 | +0.23 |
| M4 | Guimaraes · Away30 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | +0.13 |
| M5 | Casa Pia · Home14 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.65 | −1.52 |
| M6 | Nacional · Away20 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | +0.31 |
| M7 | Porto · Home29 Sep 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.41 | −0.10 |
| M8 | Famalicao · Home5 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −0.07 |
| M9 | Benfica · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.35 | −0.43 |
| M10 | Moreirense · Home2 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −1.85 |
| M11 | Estoril · Away7 Nov 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.03 | −2.88 |
| M12 | Sporting de Braga · Home1 Dec 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.64 | −3.52 |
| M13 | Estrela · Away7 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −4.51 |
| M14 | Alverca · Home14 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | −2.73 |
| M15 | Santa Clara · Away21 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.14 | −2.59 |
| M16 | Gil Vicente · Home28 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.05 | −2.53 |
| M17 | Tondela · Away3 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −3.75 |
| M18 | AVS · Away17 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | −2.09 |
| M19 | Sporting CP · Home24 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.49 | −2.57 |
| M20 | Rio Ave · Away31 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −1.07 |
| M21 | Guimaraes · Home7 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.70 | +0.62 |
| M22 | Casa Pia · Away14 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.43 | −0.81 |
| M23 | Nacional · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +0.62 |
| M24 | Porto · Away27 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.37 | +0.25 |
| M25 | Famalicao · Away6 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | −0.56 |
| M26 | Benfica · Home14 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.48 | −1.04 |
| M27 | Moreirense · Away21 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +0.60 |
| M28 | Estoril · Home6 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.55 | +2.15 |
| M29 | Sporting de Braga · Away12 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.62 | +1.53 |
| M30 | Estrela · Home19 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +2.93 |
| M31 | Alverca · Away24 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | +1.78 |
| M32 | Santa Clara · Home2 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | +1.44 |
| M33 | Gil Vicente · Away11 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.17 | +3.61 |
| M34 | Tondela · Home16 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.80 | +5.41 |
| Total | 42 | +5.41 | |||