Points
21Points expected by the market
27.99Gap
−6.99Yield
−45.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 4 | −7.16 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 25 | 17 | +0.18 | −25.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 3 | −5.92 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 9 | +1.93 | +27.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.24 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 8 | −1.75 | −61.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Arouca · Away9 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −0.85 |
| M2 | Casa Pia · Home15 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −2.19 |
| M3 | Sporting de Braga · Away24 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.57 | −1.62 |
| M4 | Famalicao · Home30 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | −2.60 |
| M5 | Estoril · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −3.45 |
| M6 | Benfica · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.35 | −3.80 |
| M7 | Estrela · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.11 | −4.91 |
| M8 | Alverca · Home4 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.19 | −6.10 |
| M9 | Santa Clara · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.63 | −6.73 |
| M10 | Tondela · Home2 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.22 | −6.95 |
| M11 | Gil Vicente · Home9 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.22 | −6.73 |
| M12 | Guimaraes · Away28 Nov 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.85 | −7.58 |
| M13 | Rio Ave · Home6 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −8.79 |
| M14 | Sporting CP · Away13 Dec 2025 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.19 | −8.98 |
| M15 | Nacional · Home21 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.31 | −9.29 |
| M16 | Porto · Away29 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.25 | −9.54 |
| M17 | Moreirense · Home3 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −10.63 |
| M18 | Arouca · Home17 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | −11.98 |
| M19 | Casa Pia · Away23 Jan 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.03 | −12.01 |
| M20 | Sporting de Braga · Home2 Feb 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.49 | −12.50 |
| M21 | Famalicao · Away9 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.65 | −13.14 |
| M22 | Estoril · Home15 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.08 | −11.06 |
| M23 | Benfica · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.24 | −11.30 |
| M24 | Estrela · Home28 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | −11.61 |
| M25 | Alverca · Away7 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.19 | −11.42 |
| M26 | Santa Clara · Home15 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | −12.33 |
| M27 | Tondela · Away21 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.10 | −12.24 |
| M28 | Gil Vicente · Away3 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.54 | −12.78 |
| M29 | Guimaraes · Home11 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.24 | −12.54 |
| M30 | Rio Ave · Away17 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.17 | −12.37 |
| M31 | Sporting CP · Home26 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.69 | −11.68 |
| M32 | Nacional · Away2 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.31 | −9.37 |
| M33 | Porto · Home10 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.50 | −6.86 |
| M34 | Moreirense · Away16 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | −6.99 |
| Total | 21 | −6.99 | |||