Points
80Points expected by the market
76.21Gap
+3.79Yield
−8.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 26 | 66 | +2.65 | −5.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 9 | −0.45 | −38.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.32 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.91 | +76.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 15 | 37 | −0.27 | −13.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.73 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.32 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | 29 | +2.92 | +4.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +0.28 | −23.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.91 | +76.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Estrela · Away16 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.51 | +0.51 |
| M2 | Tondela · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.43 | +0.95 |
| M3 | Alverca · Away31 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.54 | +1.48 |
| M4 | Santa Clara · Home12 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.38 | +0.10 |
| M5 | AVS · Away20 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.49 | +0.59 |
| M6 | Rio Ave · Home23 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.58 | −0.99 |
| M7 | Gil Vicente · Home26 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.66 | −0.33 |
| M8 | Porto · Away5 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.37 |
| M9 | Arouca · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.48 | +0.12 |
| M10 | Guimaraes · Away1 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +0.93 |
| M11 | Casa Pia · Home9 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.53 | −0.60 |
| M12 | Nacional · Away29 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.75 | +0.15 |
| M13 | Sporting CP · Home5 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.16 |
| M14 | Moreirense · Away14 Dec 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +0.59 |
| M15 | Famalicao · Home22 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +1.32 |
| M16 | Sporting de Braga · Away28 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | +0.67 |
| M17 | Estoril · Home3 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.54 | +1.21 |
| M18 | Rio Ave · Away17 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.67 | +1.89 |
| M19 | Estrela · Home25 Jan 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.48 | +2.36 |
| M20 | Tondela · Away1 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.34 | +1.02 |
| M21 | Alverca · Home8 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.45 | +1.48 |
| M22 | Santa Clara · Away13 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.95 | +2.42 |
| M23 | AVS · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.34 | +2.77 |
| M24 | Gil Vicente · Away2 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.96 | +3.73 |
| M25 | Porto · Home8 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.73 | +3.00 |
| M26 | Arouca · Away14 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.65 | +3.65 |
| M27 | Guimaraes · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.51 | +4.16 |
| M28 | Casa Pia · Away6 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.49 | +2.67 |
| M29 | Nacional · Home12 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.45 | +3.12 |
| M30 | Sporting CP · Away19 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.95 | +5.07 |
| M31 | Moreirense · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.35 | +5.42 |
| M32 | Famalicao · Away2 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.99 | +4.44 |
| M33 | Sporting de Braga · Home11 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.22 | +3.22 |
| M34 | Estoril · Away16 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.57 | +3.79 |
| Total | 80 | +3.79 | |||