Points
30Points expected by the market
34.95Gap
−4.95Yield
−16.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 2 | −3.03 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 14 | −2.93 | −31.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 14 | +1.02 | +8.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 2 | −3.03 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 8 | −3.95 | −68.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 5 | +1.91 | +130.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +1.02 | +51.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 9 | −0.90 | −37.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sporting CP · Home8 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.50 | −0.50 |
| M2 | AVS · Away15 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +1.14 |
| M3 | Porto · Away24 Aug 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.36 | +0.79 |
| M4 | Nacional · Home30 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −0.78 |
| M5 | Arouca · Away14 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +1.16 |
| M6 | Famalicao · Home21 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | +1.06 |
| M7 | Moreirense · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −0.01 |
| M8 | Estoril · Home3 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | −0.36 |
| M9 | Sporting de Braga · Away26 Oct 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.59 | −0.95 |
| M10 | Estrela · Home1 Nov 2025 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.57 | −2.52 |
| M11 | Benfica · Away9 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.67 | −1.85 |
| M12 | Alverca · Home29 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −3.29 |
| M13 | Santa Clara · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | −4.24 |
| M14 | Gil Vicente · Home13 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −4.29 |
| M15 | Tondela · Away21 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | −2.41 |
| M16 | Guimaraes · Home28 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | −2.63 |
| M17 | Rio Ave · Away4 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.22 | −3.85 |
| M18 | Sporting CP · Away16 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.34 | −4.19 |
| M19 | AVS · Home23 Jan 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.67 | −4.87 |
| M20 | Porto · Home2 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.58 | −2.29 |
| M21 | Nacional · Away8 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.09 | −2.20 |
| M22 | Arouca · Home14 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.73 | −0.47 |
| M23 | Famalicao · Away23 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.70 | −1.18 |
| M24 | Moreirense · Home1 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −1.53 |
| M25 | Estoril · Away7 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.13 | −1.40 |
| M26 | Estrela · Away20 Mar 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.28 | −2.68 |
| M27 | Benfica · Home6 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.64 | −2.04 |
| M28 | Alverca · Away12 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.98 | −3.02 |
| M29 | Santa Clara · Home18 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | −3.14 |
| M30 | Sporting de Braga · Home23 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.76 | −3.91 |
| M31 | Gil Vicente · Away27 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −4.77 |
| M32 | Tondela · Home3 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | −6.28 |
| M33 | Guimaraes · Away11 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.13 | −4.15 |
| M34 | Rio Ave · Home16 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | −4.95 |
| Total | 30 | −4.95 | |||