Points
39Points expected by the market
41.10Gap
−2.10Yield
−17.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 13 | −3.16 | −36.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 22 | +4.97 | +31.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 4 | −3.91 | −58.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 13 | −1.32 | −28.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +1.70 | +35.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −0.21 | +0.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.84 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +3.28 | +30.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 1 | −3.70 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Estrela · Home11 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.89 | −0.89 |
| M2 | Guimaraes · Away16 Aug 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.92 | −1.81 |
| M3 | Tondela · Away31 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | −2.13 |
| M4 | Santa Clara · Home6 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −3.30 |
| M5 | AVS · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.10 | −2.21 |
| M6 | Gil Vicente · Away21 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −3.22 |
| M7 | Sporting CP · Home27 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.42 | −3.64 |
| M8 | Casa Pia · Away3 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | −3.99 |
| M9 | Nacional · Home26 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −4.48 |
| M10 | Rio Ave · Away1 Nov 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.83 | −2.65 |
| M11 | Arouca · Home7 Nov 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.30 | −1.35 |
| M12 | Porto · Away30 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.37 | −1.73 |
| M13 | Moreirense · Home7 Dec 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.59 | −2.32 |
| M14 | Famalicao · Away14 Dec 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.86 | −3.18 |
| M15 | Sporting de Braga · Home19 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.21 | −0.97 |
| M16 | Alverca · Home27 Dec 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +0.44 |
| M17 | Benfica · Away3 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.39 | +0.04 |
| M18 | Estrela · Away19 Jan 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +1.61 |
| M19 | Guimaraes · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.56 | +3.16 |
| M20 | Santa Clara · Away31 Jan 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.87 | +5.04 |
| M21 | Tondela · Home7 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.89 | +4.15 |
| M22 | AVS · Away15 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.84 | +2.31 |
| M23 | Gil Vicente · Home22 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +4.11 |
| M24 | Sporting CP · Away27 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.37 | +3.74 |
| M25 | Casa Pia · Home7 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.88 | +2.86 |
| M26 | Nacional · Away15 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +4.61 |
| M27 | Rio Ave · Home22 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.88 | +2.73 |
| M28 | Arouca · Away6 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.29 | +1.44 |
| M29 | Porto · Home12 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.62 | +0.83 |
| M30 | Moreirense · Away20 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | −0.59 |
| M31 | Famalicao · Home26 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | −1.55 |
| M32 | Sporting de Braga · Away3 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.24 | −1.31 |
| M33 | Alverca · Away10 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −1.68 |
| M34 | Benfica · Home16 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.43 | −2.10 |
| Total | 39 | −2.10 | |||