Points
30Points expected by the market
34.19Gap
−4.19Yield
−38.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.68 | +103.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 11 | −7.20 | −57.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 13 | +0.33 | −38.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.68 | +103.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 7 | −4.91 | −72.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | +0.99 | −28.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 4 | −2.29 | −32.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 8 | −0.66 | −44.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Estoril · Away11 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.15 |
| M2 | Benfica · Home16 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.37 | −0.22 |
| M3 | Alverca · Home25 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | −0.67 |
| M4 | Santa Clara · Away31 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.12 | −0.55 |
| M5 | Guimaraes · Home14 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.76 |
| M6 | Tondela · Away21 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.07 | −1.83 |
| M7 | AVS · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −0.42 |
| M8 | Gil Vicente · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −1.22 |
| M9 | Rio Ave · Home25 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −2.47 |
| M10 | Casa Pia · Away1 Nov 2025 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.88 | −0.60 |
| M11 | Nacional · Home9 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | −1.12 |
| M12 | Sporting CP · Away30 Nov 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.30 | −1.42 |
| M13 | Arouca · Home7 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.27 | −0.15 |
| M14 | Porto · Away15 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.32 | −0.47 |
| M15 | Moreirense · Home20 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.81 |
| M16 | Famalicao · Away27 Dec 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.36 | +1.55 |
| M17 | Sporting de Braga · Home3 Jan 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.16 | +1.71 |
| M18 | Estoril · Home19 Jan 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.28 | +0.43 |
| M19 | Benfica · Away25 Jan 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.33 | +0.10 |
| M20 | Alverca · Away31 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.16 |
| M21 | Santa Clara · Home7 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.05 | +2.21 |
| M22 | Guimaraes · Away14 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.73 | +1.49 |
| M23 | Tondela · Home20 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.33 | +0.16 |
| M24 | AVS · Away28 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | −0.25 |
| M25 | Gil Vicente · Home8 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.03 | −0.22 |
| M26 | Rio Ave · Away15 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −1.42 |
| M27 | Casa Pia · Home20 Mar 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +0.17 |
| M28 | Nacional · Away4 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −0.79 |
| M29 | Sporting CP · Home11 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.41 | −1.19 |
| M30 | Arouca · Away19 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | −2.30 |
| M31 | Porto · Home26 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.47 | −2.76 |
| M32 | Moreirense · Away2 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.47 | −4.23 |
| M33 | Famalicao · Home11 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | −4.34 |
| M34 | Sporting de Braga · Away16 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.15 | −4.19 |
| Total | 30 | −4.19 | |||