Points
56Points expected by the market
52.19Gap
+3.81Yield
−17.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 4 | −2.40 | −51.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 39 | +6.17 | +5.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +1.78 | +25.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 3 | −1.74 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 4 | −2.40 | −51.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 26 | +6.82 | +34.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.13 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.18 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 13 | −0.65 | −29.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 10 | +2.91 | +50.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −0.56 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Santa Clara · Home10 Aug 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +1.41 |
| M2 | Tondela · Away16 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +2.68 |
| M3 | Gil Vicente · Home24 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.81 | +1.87 |
| M4 | AVS · Away30 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +3.13 |
| M5 | Sporting CP · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.68 | +2.45 |
| M6 | Casa Pia · Away21 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | +1.86 |
| M7 | Rio Ave · Home28 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.92 | +0.93 |
| M8 | Arouca · Away5 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | +0.17 |
| M9 | Guimaraes · Home26 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +1.32 |
| M10 | Nacional · Away1 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +2.80 |
| M11 | Porto · Home9 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.72 | +2.08 |
| M12 | Moreirense · Away29 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.52 | +1.56 |
| M13 | Sporting de Braga · Home6 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | +0.43 |
| M14 | Estoril · Home14 Dec 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +1.53 |
| M15 | Benfica · Away22 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.54 | +1.00 |
| M16 | Estrela · Home27 Dec 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.13 | −1.13 |
| M17 | Alverca · Away4 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | −2.79 |
| M18 | Santa Clara · Away18 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −1.21 |
| M19 | Tondela · Home25 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.97 | −0.24 |
| M20 | Gil Vicente · Away1 Feb 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.34 | −1.58 |
| M21 | AVS · Home9 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.87 | −0.71 |
| M22 | Sporting CP · Away15 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.48 | −1.20 |
| M23 | Casa Pia · Home23 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.94 | −0.25 |
| M24 | Rio Ave · Away1 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.78 | −1.03 |
| M25 | Arouca · Home6 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +0.02 |
| M26 | Guimaraes · Away14 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +1.74 |
| M27 | Nacional · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +2.72 |
| M28 | Porto · Away4 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.43 | +3.15 |
| M29 | Moreirense · Home10 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.14 | +2.02 |
| M30 | Sporting de Braga · Away19 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.03 | +2.05 |
| M31 | Estoril · Away26 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +3.25 |
| M32 | Benfica · Home2 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.22 | +3.47 |
| M33 | Estrela · Away11 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.61 | +2.86 |
| M34 | Alverca · Home16 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +3.81 |
| Total | 56 | +3.81 | |||