Points
50Points expected by the market
48.66Gap
+1.34Yield
−6.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.75 | +36.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 26 | −4.73 | −34.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 13 | +3.34 | +48.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 8 | +1.97 | −0.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.75 | +36.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 17 | −1.44 | −9.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.19 | +157.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +1.08 | −0.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 9 | −3.28 | −70.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 7 | +0.15 | +4.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | +0.89 | 0.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nacional · Away9 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +1.71 |
| M2 | Porto · Home18 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.57 | +1.14 |
| M3 | Famalicao · Away24 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.10 | +1.24 |
| M4 | Moreirense · Home29 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +2.78 |
| M5 | Sporting de Braga · Away14 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.18 | +4.96 |
| M6 | Estoril · Home21 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +6.26 |
| M7 | Benfica · Away26 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.48 | +5.78 |
| M8 | Estrela · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +6.85 |
| M9 | Alverca · Away24 Oct 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +8.35 |
| M10 | Santa Clara · Home3 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +9.64 |
| M11 | AVS · Away9 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.96 | +8.68 |
| M12 | Tondela · Home29 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.97 | +6.72 |
| M13 | Guimaraes · Away8 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | +6.34 |
| M14 | Casa Pia · Away13 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | +5.69 |
| M15 | Rio Ave · Home20 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.85 | +4.84 |
| M16 | Arouca · Away28 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.77 | +4.07 |
| M17 | Sporting CP · Home2 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.37 | +4.44 |
| M18 | Nacional · Home17 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +5.55 |
| M19 | Porto · Away26 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.52 | +5.04 |
| M20 | Famalicao · Home1 Feb 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +6.69 |
| M21 | Moreirense · Away7 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +8.05 |
| M22 | Sporting de Braga · Home14 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.01 | +10.06 |
| M23 | Estoril · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.53 | +8.53 |
| M24 | Benfica · Home2 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.72 | +7.81 |
| M25 | Estrela · Away8 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.74 | +7.07 |
| M26 | Alverca · Home14 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.92 | +6.15 |
| M27 | Santa Clara · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | +4.98 |
| M28 | AVS · Home3 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +5.74 |
| M29 | Tondela · Away13 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.75 | +4.99 |
| M30 | Guimaraes · Home18 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | +3.30 |
| M31 | Casa Pia · Home27 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +4.43 |
| M32 | Rio Ave · Away3 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.78 | +3.66 |
| M33 | Arouca · Home11 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.92 | +1.73 |
| M34 | Sporting CP · Away16 May 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.40 | +1.34 |
| Total | 50 | +1.34 | |||