Points
42Points expected by the market
44.92Gap
−2.92Yield
−23.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 24 | +3.67 | +12.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 14 | −3.69 | −22.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 4 | −2.90 | −63.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 23 | +4.67 | +23.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.01 | −2.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −1.86 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.00 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −3.68 | −28.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −1.05 | −38.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Porto · Away11 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.62 | −0.62 |
| M2 | Estoril · Home16 Aug 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.19 | +0.57 |
| M3 | Moreirense · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −0.89 |
| M4 | Arouca · Home30 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | −1.52 |
| M5 | Estrela · Away14 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.51 | 0.00 |
| M6 | Sporting de Braga · Home20 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.01 |
| M7 | Alverca · Away28 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −1.32 |
| M8 | Santa Clara · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | +0.40 |
| M9 | Famalicao · Away26 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −0.49 |
| M10 | Benfica · Home1 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.60 | −1.09 |
| M11 | Tondela · Away8 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +0.47 |
| M12 | AVS · Home28 Nov 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +1.59 |
| M13 | Gil Vicente · Home8 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | +1.29 |
| M14 | Rio Ave · Away13 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +2.80 |
| M15 | Sporting CP · Home23 Dec 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.63 | +2.17 |
| M16 | Casa Pia · Away28 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | +1.70 |
| M17 | Nacional · Home2 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +2.93 |
| M18 | Porto · Home18 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.63 | +2.30 |
| M19 | Estoril · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.28 | +1.02 |
| M20 | Moreirense · Home30 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +2.24 |
| M21 | Arouca · Away7 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.40 | +0.84 |
| M22 | Estrela · Home14 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.98 | +1.82 |
| M23 | Sporting de Braga · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.67 | +1.15 |
| M24 | Alverca · Home28 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.87 | +0.27 |
| M25 | Santa Clara · Away8 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −0.96 |
| M26 | Famalicao · Home14 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −2.39 |
| M27 | Benfica · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.37 | −2.76 |
| M28 | Tondela · Home3 Apr 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.22 | −1.54 |
| M29 | AVS · Away11 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.00 | −2.54 |
| M30 | Gil Vicente · Away18 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.97 | −0.58 |
| M31 | Rio Ave · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +0.52 |
| M32 | Sporting CP · Away4 May 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.46 | +0.06 |
| M33 | Casa Pia · Home11 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.88 | −1.82 |
| M34 | Nacional · Away16 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −2.92 |
| Total | 42 | −2.92 | |||