Points
43Points expected by the market
37.08Gap
+5.92Yield
−7.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 16 | +6.20 | +72.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 23 | +3.83 | +10.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 4 | −4.11 | −65.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 10 | +3.39 | +52.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 17 | +6.44 | +72.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 0 | −3.11 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.81 | +114.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 6 | −2.60 | −59.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 4 | −1.00 | −43.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Alverca · Home10 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +1.25 |
| M2 | Santa Clara · Away17 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.08 | +3.34 |
| M3 | Guimaraes · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +5.10 |
| M4 | Gil Vicente · Away29 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.21 | +3.89 |
| M5 | Rio Ave · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +5.27 |
| M6 | Sporting CP · Away22 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.37 | +4.90 |
| M7 | Casa Pia · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +6.26 |
| M8 | Nacional · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.13 | +5.13 |
| M9 | Porto · Home27 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.44 | +4.69 |
| M10 | Arouca · Away2 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +6.41 |
| M11 | Sporting de Braga · Away9 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.54 | +5.86 |
| M12 | Famalicao · Home29 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | +5.68 |
| M13 | Estoril · Away7 Dec 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.12 | +5.56 |
| M14 | Benfica · Home14 Dec 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.54 | +5.02 |
| M15 | Estrela · Away20 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | +4.67 |
| M16 | AVS · Away3 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +6.04 |
| M17 | Tondela · Home11 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +7.52 |
| M18 | Alverca · Away17 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +6.34 |
| M19 | Santa Clara · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +8.03 |
| M20 | Guimaraes · Away30 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | +7.09 |
| M21 | Gil Vicente · Home7 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +6.03 |
| M22 | Rio Ave · Away16 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +7.46 |
| M23 | Sporting CP · Home21 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.41 | +7.04 |
| M24 | Casa Pia · Away1 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +6.72 |
| M25 | Nacional · Home7 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +6.28 |
| M26 | Porto · Away15 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.35 | +5.94 |
| M27 | Arouca · Home21 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | +4.59 |
| M28 | Sporting de Braga · Home4 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.66 | +3.94 |
| M29 | Famalicao · Away10 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.36 | +4.30 |
| M30 | Estoril · Home20 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +5.99 |
| M31 | Benfica · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.25 | +5.74 |
| M32 | Estrela · Home2 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.77 | +7.51 |
| M33 | Tondela · Away11 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | +6.52 |
| M34 | AVS · Home16 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.60 | +5.92 |
| Total | 43 | +5.92 | |||