Points
34Points expected by the market
39.15Gap
−5.15Yield
−24.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.10 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 16 | +5.93 | +69.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 15 | −4.54 | −46.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 3 | −4.44 | −38.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.10 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 16 | +5.93 | +69.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 4 | −4.47 | −61.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 0 | −2.22 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 11 | −0.08 | −35.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 3 | −2.22 | −7.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Gil Vicente · Home9 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −1.39 |
| M2 | Rio Ave · Away17 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | −1.52 |
| M3 | Sporting CP · Home23 Aug 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.40 | −1.91 |
| M4 | Casa Pia · Away30 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.86 | −0.05 |
| M5 | Porto · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.37 | −0.42 |
| M6 | Arouca · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −1.95 |
| M7 | Sporting de Braga · Away28 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.42 | +0.46 |
| M8 | Moreirense · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.43 | +1.89 |
| M9 | Estoril · Away26 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +1.67 |
| M10 | Famalicao · Home1 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | +0.48 |
| M11 | Estrela · Away9 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.30 |
| M12 | Benfica · Home29 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.55 | −0.25 |
| M13 | Alverca · Away7 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | −1.34 |
| M14 | Tondela · Home15 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +0.16 |
| M15 | AVS · Away21 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.40 | −0.25 |
| M16 | Guimaraes · Away2 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −1.19 |
| M17 | Santa Clara · Home11 Jan 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.36 | −1.55 |
| M18 | Gil Vicente · Away17 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −2.40 |
| M19 | Rio Ave · Home25 Jan 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.29 | −1.11 |
| M20 | Sporting CP · Away1 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.31 | −1.42 |
| M21 | Casa Pia · Home8 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.82 | −2.24 |
| M22 | Porto · Home15 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.57 | −2.81 |
| M23 | Arouca · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −3.96 |
| M24 | Sporting de Braga · Home28 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.70 | −4.65 |
| M25 | Moreirense · Away7 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −4.92 |
| M26 | Estoril · Home15 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −6.41 |
| M27 | Famalicao · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.75 | −7.16 |
| M28 | Estrela · Home4 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.21 | −5.94 |
| M29 | Benfica · Away12 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.32 | −6.27 |
| M30 | Alverca · Home18 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −4.83 |
| M31 | Tondela · Away25 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.60 | −3.23 |
| M32 | AVS · Home2 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.10 | −5.33 |
| M33 | Santa Clara · Away11 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −6.53 |
| M34 | Guimaraes · Home16 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −5.15 |
| Total | 34 | −5.15 | |||