Points
88Points expected by the market
74.83Gap
+13.17Yield
+16.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 27 | 73 | +8.88 | +12.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.20 | +2.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.06 | +14.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.03 | +90.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 40 | +5.62 | +11.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.24 | −24.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.43 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 33 | +3.26 | +13.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.96 | +55.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.49 | +129.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.03 | +90.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Guimaraes · Home11 Aug 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.83 | +0.83 |
| M2 | Gil Vicente · Away18 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +1.61 |
| M3 | Casa Pia · Home24 Aug 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.51 | +2.12 |
| M4 | Sporting CP · Away30 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.00 | +4.12 |
| M5 | Nacional · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.52 | +4.64 |
| M6 | Rio Ave · Away19 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.72 | +5.35 |
| M7 | Arouca · Away29 Sep 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +5.93 |
| M8 | Benfica · Home5 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | +5.24 |
| M9 | Moreirense · Away27 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.61 | +5.85 |
| M10 | Sporting de Braga · Home2 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.92 | +6.77 |
| M11 | Famalicao · Away9 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +7.73 |
| M12 | Estoril · Home30 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.52 | +8.26 |
| M13 | Tondela · Away7 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.62 | +8.88 |
| M14 | Estrela · Home15 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.45 | +9.33 |
| M15 | Alverca · Away22 Dec 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.70 | +10.03 |
| M16 | AVS · Home29 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.36 | +10.39 |
| M17 | Santa Clara · Away4 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +11.27 |
| M18 | Guimaraes · Away18 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.86 | +12.13 |
| M19 | Gil Vicente · Home26 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.72 | +12.85 |
| M20 | Casa Pia · Away2 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.40 | +10.45 |
| M21 | Sporting CP · Home9 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +10.02 |
| M22 | Nacional · Away15 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +10.80 |
| M23 | Rio Ave · Home22 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.38 | +11.18 |
| M24 | Arouca · Home27 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.53 | +11.70 |
| M25 | Benfica · Away8 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.02 | +11.73 |
| M26 | Moreirense · Home15 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.50 | +12.23 |
| M27 | Sporting de Braga · Away22 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +13.72 |
| M28 | Famalicao · Home4 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.22 | +12.50 |
| M29 | Estoril · Away12 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.82 | +13.32 |
| M30 | Tondela · Home19 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.43 | +13.75 |
| M31 | Estrela · Away26 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.65 | +14.40 |
| M32 | Alverca · Home2 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.47 | +14.87 |
| M33 | AVS · Away10 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.33 | +12.55 |
| M34 | Santa Clara · Home16 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.62 | +13.17 |
| Total | 88 | +13.17 | |||