Points
36Points expected by the market
34.56Gap
+1.44Yield
−28.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 2 | −1.51 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 21 | +2.54 | +9.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 13 | +0.41 | −49.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 2 | −1.51 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 10 | −2.13 | −20.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −1.16 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 11 | +4.67 | +63.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 10 | +1.57 | −24.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nacional · Home17 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −0.59 |
| M2 | Arouca · Away23 Aug 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.76 |
| M3 | Sporting de Braga · Home31 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.17 | −0.59 |
| M4 | Moreirense · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −1.67 |
| M5 | Porto · Home19 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.53 | −2.20 |
| M6 | Benfica · Away23 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.70 | −1.50 |
| M7 | Famalicao · Away28 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.17 | −1.34 |
| M8 | Tondela · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +0.26 |
| M9 | Estrela · Away25 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +1.81 |
| M10 | Estoril · Home1 Nov 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.54 | +0.27 |
| M11 | Alverca · Away8 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.15 |
| M12 | Santa Clara · Home30 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.16 |
| M13 | AVS · Away6 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +1.34 |
| M14 | Guimaraes · Home13 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | +0.12 |
| M15 | Gil Vicente · Away20 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.23 |
| M16 | Sporting CP · Away28 Dec 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.22 | +0.02 |
| M17 | Casa Pia · Home4 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +1.54 |
| M18 | Benfica · Home17 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.49 | +1.05 |
| M19 | Nacional · Away25 Jan 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.02 | +0.03 |
| M20 | Arouca · Home31 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.18 |
| M21 | Sporting de Braga · Away8 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.31 | −1.50 |
| M22 | Moreirense · Home16 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −2.63 |
| M23 | Porto · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.27 | −2.90 |
| M24 | Famalicao · Home1 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.03 | −2.86 |
| M25 | Tondela · Away9 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.91 | −0.95 |
| M26 | Estrela · Home15 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +0.53 |
| M27 | Estoril · Away22 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.12 | +2.65 |
| M28 | Alverca · Home4 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | +1.33 |
| M29 | Santa Clara · Away11 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.15 | +3.48 |
| M30 | AVS · Home17 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.92 | +2.56 |
| M31 | Guimaraes · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.83 | +1.72 |
| M32 | Gil Vicente · Home3 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.04 | +1.76 |
| M33 | Sporting CP · Home11 May 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.38 | +1.39 |
| M34 | Casa Pia · Away16 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | +1.44 |
| Total | 36 | +1.44 | |||