Points
36Points expected by the market
45.94Gap
−9.94Yield
−44.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.87 | +47.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 11 | −6.91 | −44.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 21 | +1.05 | −15.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 1 | −4.96 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.87 | +47.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 8 | −6.37 | −53.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 12 | +4.87 | +91.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −1.89 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.54 | −8.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 9 | −3.82 | −74.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 1 | −3.07 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Famalicao · Away10 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.10 |
| M2 | Moreirense · Home17 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.78 | −2.88 |
| M3 | Estrela · Home31 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.82 | −3.70 |
| M4 | Estoril · Away6 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −2.21 |
| M5 | Benfica · Away12 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.56 | −1.65 |
| M6 | Alverca · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.11 | −0.54 |
| M7 | Tondela · Home27 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.84 | −2.38 |
| M8 | Guimaraes · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −3.78 |
| M9 | AVS · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.87 | −2.91 |
| M10 | Gil Vicente · Away3 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −3.88 |
| M11 | Sporting CP · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.56 | −4.44 |
| M12 | Rio Ave · Away30 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −4.83 |
| M13 | Casa Pia · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | −3.56 |
| M14 | Sporting de Braga · Away15 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.60 | −4.15 |
| M15 | Arouca · Home21 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.85 | −5.01 |
| M16 | Porto · Home4 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.63 | −5.64 |
| M17 | Nacional · Away11 Jan 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.32 | −5.96 |
| M18 | Famalicao · Home18 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | −7.22 |
| M19 | Moreirense · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | −8.58 |
| M20 | Estoril · Home31 Jan 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.58 | −10.16 |
| M21 | Estrela · Away7 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.74 | −11.90 |
| M22 | Benfica · Home13 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.70 | −12.60 |
| M23 | Alverca · Away21 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −13.06 |
| M24 | Tondela · Away1 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.44 | −13.50 |
| M25 | Guimaraes · Home8 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.54 | −11.96 |
| M26 | AVS · Away15 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | −10.76 |
| M27 | Gil Vicente · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −9.28 |
| M28 | Sporting CP · Away3 Apr 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.51 | −9.79 |
| M29 | Rio Ave · Home11 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.88 | −11.67 |
| M30 | Casa Pia · Away18 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | −12.24 |
| M31 | Sporting de Braga · Home26 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | −10.64 |
| M32 | Arouca · Away2 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.36 | −10.99 |
| M33 | Nacional · Home11 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −9.49 |
| M34 | Porto · Away16 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.45 | −9.94 |
| Total | 36 | −9.94 | |||