Points
82Points expected by the market
78.22Gap
+3.78Yield
−9.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 29 | 79 | +8.54 | +5.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 1 | −4.11 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 2 | −0.65 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 15 | 41 | +3.47 | +1.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 0 | −3.42 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 38 | +5.07 | +10.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.69 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 2 | −0.65 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Casa Pia · Away8 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +0.68 |
| M2 | Arouca · Home17 Aug 2025 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.47 | +1.15 |
| M3 | Nacional · Away23 Aug 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.54 | +1.70 |
| M4 | Porto · Home30 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.74 | −0.04 |
| M5 | Famalicao · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.89 | +0.85 |
| M6 | Moreirense · Home22 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.52 | +1.36 |
| M7 | Estoril · Away27 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +1.93 |
| M8 | Sporting de Braga · Home5 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.15 | +0.78 |
| M9 | Tondela · Away26 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.55 | +1.34 |
| M10 | Alverca · Home31 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.34 | +1.68 |
| M11 | Santa Clara · Away8 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.78 | +2.46 |
| M12 | Estrela · Home30 Nov 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.42 | +2.88 |
| M13 | Benfica · Away5 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +2.50 |
| M14 | AVS · Home13 Dec 2025 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.28 | +2.78 |
| M15 | Guimaraes · Away23 Dec 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.85 | +3.62 |
| M16 | Rio Ave · Home28 Dec 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.32 | +3.94 |
| M17 | Gil Vicente · Away2 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.15 | +2.80 |
| M18 | Casa Pia · Home16 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.48 | +3.28 |
| M19 | Arouca · Away24 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.66 | +3.94 |
| M20 | Nacional · Home1 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.43 | +4.37 |
| M21 | Porto · Away9 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | +4.10 |
| M22 | Famalicao · Home15 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.67 | +4.77 |
| M23 | Moreirense · Away21 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.58 | +5.35 |
| M24 | Estoril · Home27 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.50 | +5.85 |
| M25 | Sporting de Braga · Away7 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.69 | +5.16 |
| M26 | Alverca · Away22 Mar 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.61 | +5.77 |
| M27 | Santa Clara · Home3 Apr 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.71 | +6.48 |
| M28 | Estrela · Away11 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.56 | +7.04 |
| M29 | Benfica · Home19 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.68 | +5.36 |
| M30 | AVS · Away26 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.58 | +3.78 |
| M31 | Tondela · Home29 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.66 | +2.12 |
| M32 | Guimaraes · Home4 May 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.62 | +2.74 |
| M33 | Rio Ave · Away11 May 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.51 | +3.25 |
| M34 | Gil Vicente · Home16 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.53 | +3.78 |
| Total | 82 | +3.78 | |||