Points
59Points expected by the market
62.02Gap
−3.02Yield
−30.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 37 | +5.99 | +20.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 18 | −6.48 | −47.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.49 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.04 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 25 | +2.65 | +11.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 3 | −4.61 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.20 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 2 | −0.11 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +3.34 | +42.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 15 | −1.88 | −24.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.29 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | +0.08 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Tondela · Home10 Aug 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +0.89 |
| M2 | Alverca · Away17 Aug 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +1.90 |
| M3 | AVS · Home24 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.39 | +0.51 |
| M4 | Rio Ave · Away31 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.92 | −0.41 |
| M5 | Gil Vicente · Home14 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.92 | −2.33 |
| M6 | Guimaraes · Away20 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | −3.07 |
| M7 | Nacional · Home28 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.21 | −5.28 |
| M8 | Sporting CP · Away5 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.36 | −4.92 |
| M9 | Casa Pia · Home26 Oct 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.80 | −4.12 |
| M10 | Porto · Away2 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | −4.81 |
| M11 | Moreirense · Home9 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.75 | −4.07 |
| M12 | Arouca · Away1 Dec 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.86 | −3.21 |
| M13 | Famalicao · Away6 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | −1.80 |
| M14 | Santa Clara · Home15 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.83 | −0.97 |
| M15 | Estoril · Away19 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.97 | −2.94 |
| M16 | Benfica · Home28 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.07 | −3.01 |
| M17 | Estrela · Away3 Jan 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.90 | −3.91 |
| M18 | Tondela · Away18 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.92 | −2.99 |
| M19 | Alverca · Home25 Jan 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.81 | −2.17 |
| M20 | AVS · Away2 Feb 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.67 | −1.50 |
| M21 | Rio Ave · Home8 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.44 | −1.06 |
| M22 | Gil Vicente · Away14 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.72 | −2.77 |
| M23 | Guimaraes · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.90 | −1.87 |
| M24 | Nacional · Away28 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.92 | −0.95 |
| M25 | Sporting CP · Home7 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.04 | −1.00 |
| M26 | Porto · Home22 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −2.19 |
| M27 | Moreirense · Away4 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.89 | −1.30 |
| M28 | Arouca · Home12 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.84 | −0.47 |
| M29 | Famalicao · Home19 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.76 | −1.23 |
| M30 | Casa Pia · Away23 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.01 | −0.22 |
| M31 | Santa Clara · Away26 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −1.51 |
| M32 | Estoril · Home3 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.01 | −2.53 |
| M33 | Benfica · Away11 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.41 | −2.12 |
| M34 | Estrela · Home16 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.91 | −3.02 |
| Total | 59 | −3.02 | |||