Points
28Points expected by the market
36.51Gap
−8.51Yield
−41.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 5 | −4.94 | −68.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 13 | −2.83 | −32.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 10 | −0.74 | −37.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 5 | −3.40 | −62.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −2.12 | −61.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 2 | −1.96 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.53 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −0.71 | −4.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 8 | +1.21 | +0.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sporting de Braga · Away10 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.67 | −0.67 |
| M2 | Famalicao · Home16 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | −1.65 |
| M3 | Benfica · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.31 | −1.96 |
| M4 | Estoril · Home31 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.39 | −2.35 |
| M5 | Alverca · Away12 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −3.43 |
| M6 | Estrela · Home21 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.65 | −4.08 |
| M7 | Santa Clara · Away27 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.12 | −1.96 |
| M8 | Rio Ave · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.31 | −3.27 |
| M9 | Sporting CP · Home26 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.40 | −3.67 |
| M10 | AVS · Away2 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.48 | −4.15 |
| M11 | Guimaraes · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | −5.41 |
| M12 | Gil Vicente · Away29 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.23 | −3.19 |
| M13 | Porto · Home7 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.44 | −3.63 |
| M14 | Nacional · Away15 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −4.83 |
| M15 | Casa Pia · Home21 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −6.40 |
| M16 | Arouca · Home3 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −4.90 |
| M17 | Moreirense · Away11 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −6.07 |
| M18 | Sporting de Braga · Home18 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.68 | −6.76 |
| M19 | Famalicao · Away25 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.73 | −7.48 |
| M20 | Benfica · Home1 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.52 | −6.96 |
| M21 | Estoril · Away7 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.14 | −6.82 |
| M22 | Alverca · Home13 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −7.25 |
| M23 | Estrela · Away20 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.64 | −5.61 |
| M24 | Santa Clara · Home1 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.23 | −5.84 |
| M25 | Rio Ave · Home9 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.62 | −7.46 |
| M26 | AVS · Home21 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.82 | −8.28 |
| M27 | Guimaraes · Away3 Apr 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.95 | −9.23 |
| M28 | Gil Vicente · Home13 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.03 | −9.20 |
| M29 | Porto · Away19 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.30 | −9.49 |
| M30 | Nacional · Home25 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −10.81 |
| M31 | Sporting CP · Away29 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.76 | −10.05 |
| M32 | Casa Pia · Away3 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −8.24 |
| M33 | Moreirense · Home11 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.26 | −6.98 |
| M34 | Arouca · Away16 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.53 | −8.51 |
| Total | 28 | −8.51 | |||