← Primeira Liga 2026-27

Benfica

Season 2026-27 · 9 matches played

Last 5WWLWW

Points

22

Points expected by the market

21.71

Gap

+0.29

Yield

−8.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M2M3M4M5M6M7M8M9

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 8 22 20.30 +1.70 +2.9%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 0 — — — —
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches 1 0 1.41 −1.41 −100.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more 0 — — — —

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Academico Viseu · Home9 Aug 2026 9 Aug 2026 D 2-2 1.10 2.65 1 −1.65 −1.65 −€1.00
M2 Casa Pia · Away17 Aug 2026 17 Aug 2026 W 7-0 1.17 2.53 3 +0.47 −1.17 +€0.17
M3 Estoril · Home31 Aug 2026 31 Aug 2026 W 2-1 1.09 2.67 3 +0.33 −0.84 +€0.09
M4 Maritimo · Away5 Sep 2026 5 Sep 2026 W 3-0 1.17 2.51 3 +0.49 −0.35 +€0.17
M5 Moreirense · Away9 Sep 2026 9 Sep 2026 W 4-0 1.12 2.62 3 +0.38 +0.03 +€0.12
M6 Gil Vicente · Home13 Sep 2026 13 Sep 2026 W 3-1 1.12 2.63 3 +0.37 +0.40 +€0.12
M7 Porto · Away20 Sep 2026 20 Sep 2026 L 1-3 2.48 1.41 0 −1.41 −1.01 −€1.00
M8 Guimaraes · Home11 Oct 2026 11 Oct 2026 W 2-0 1.21 2.46 3 +0.54 −0.46 +€0.21
M9 Santa Clara · Away26 Oct 2026 26 Oct 2026 W 2-1 1.35 2.25 3 +0.75 +0.29 +€0.35
Total 21.71 22 +0.29 −€0.77