← Primeira Liga 2026-27

Guimaraes

Season 2026-27 · 9 matches played

Last 5DLDLW

Points

8

Points expected by the market

13.53

Gap

−5.53

Yield

−64.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M2M3M4M5M6M7M8M9

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches 2 2 4.26 −2.26 −100.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 4 6 7.39 −1.39 −21.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 0 — — — —
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 3 0 1.89 −1.89 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Arouca · Home8 Aug 2026 8 Aug 2026 L 0-1 1.91 1.73 0 −1.73 −1.73 −€1.00
M2 Sporting CP · Away14 Aug 2026 14 Aug 2026 L 2-3 7.12 0.59 0 −0.59 −2.32 −€1.00
M3 Nacional · Home23 Aug 2026 23 Aug 2026 W 1-0 1.59 2.00 3 +1.00 −1.32 +€0.59
M4 Sporting de Braga · Away31 Aug 2026 31 Aug 2026 L 0-1 4.47 0.90 0 −0.90 −2.22 −€1.00
M5 Casa Pia · Home6 Sep 2026 6 Sep 2026 D 0-0 1.45 2.15 1 −1.15 −3.36 −€1.00
M6 Academico Viseu · Away12 Sep 2026 12 Sep 2026 L 1-2 2.04 1.65 0 −1.65 −5.01 −€1.00
M7 Moreirense · Home20 Sep 2026 20 Sep 2026 D 1-1 1.48 2.11 1 −1.11 −6.12 −€1.00
M8 Benfica · Away11 Oct 2026 11 Oct 2026 L 0-2 10.97 0.40 0 −0.40 −6.52 −€1.00
M9 Maritimo · Home23 Oct 2026 23 Oct 2026 W 5-0 1.57 2.01 3 +0.99 −5.53 +€0.57
Total 13.53 8 −5.53 −€5.84