Points
18Points expected by the market
20.36Gap
−2.36Yield
−17.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 14 | −2.85 | −28.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.06 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.55 | +142.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 10 | −2.24 | −25.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.60 | −34.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.06 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.55 | +142.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Estrela · Away8 Aug 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.30 | −1.30 |
| M2 | Guimaraes · Home14 Aug 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.78 | −0.52 |
| M3 | Alverca · Home22 Aug 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.55 | +0.03 |
| M4 | Rio Ave · Away28 Aug 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.70 | +0.73 |
| M5 | Nacional · Home5 Sep 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.36 | +1.09 |
| M6 | Famalicao · Away13 Sep 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.06 | +0.03 |
| M7 | Arouca · Home19 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.55 | −1.52 |
| M8 | Sporting de Braga · Away9 Oct 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +0.03 |
| M9 | Academico Viseu · Home25 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.39 | −2.36 |
| Total | 18 | −2.36 | |||