Points
11Points expected by the market
16.81Gap
−5.81Yield
−45.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.77 | +38.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 8 | −5.34 | −49.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.25 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.77 | +38.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.69 | −10.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.25 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 5 | −4.65 | −65.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Moreirense · Away9 Aug 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.06 | −1.06 |
| M2 | Guimaraes · Home31 Aug 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +0.11 |
| M3 | Alverca · Away5 Sep 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +1.24 |
| M4 | Estrela · Away10 Sep 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.04 | −0.81 |
| M5 | Estoril · Home14 Sep 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.77 | −0.03 |
| M6 | Santa Clara · Away20 Sep 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | −0.62 |
| M7 | Sporting CP · Home9 Oct 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.25 | −1.87 |
| M8 | Gil Vicente · Home19 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.86 | −3.73 |
| M9 | Nacional · Away25 Oct 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.08 | −5.81 |
| Total | 11 | −5.81 | |||