Points
41Points expected by the market
50.36Gap
−9.36Yield
−31.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.75 | +35.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 12 | −10.31 | −55.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 24 | +3.19 | +10.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 2 | −3.00 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.75 | +35.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 9 | −11.57 | −67.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 1 | −2.86 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.83 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.26 | +87.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 23 | +6.06 | +35.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.17 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dender · Away26 Jul 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | −0.39 |
| M2 | Anderlecht · Home3 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −1.57 |
| M3 | Club Brugge · Away9 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.66 | −2.23 |
| M4 | Westerlo · Home17 Aug 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.41 | −0.82 |
| M5 | Standard · Away23 Aug 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.80 |
| M6 | Sint-Truiden · Home29 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +0.17 |
| M7 | Charleroi · Home14 Sep 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.61 | −1.44 |
| M8 | Mechelen · Away21 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.26 | −1.71 |
| M9 | Gent · Home28 Sep 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.53 | −3.23 |
| M10 | Antwerp · Away4 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −3.64 |
| M11 | Genk · Home19 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.16 | −3.80 |
| M12 | Waregem · Home26 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | −4.51 |
| M13 | RAAL La Louviere · Away2 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −5.88 |
| M14 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.68 | −7.56 |
| M15 | Union Saint-Gilloise · Away22 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.61 | −8.17 |
| M16 | Waregem · Away29 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | −8.70 |
| M17 | Standard · Home6 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.71 | −10.41 |
| M18 | Mechelen · Home13 Dec 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.93 | −12.34 |
| M19 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Away21 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.68 | −10.67 |
| M20 | Union Saint-Gilloise · Home26 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −10.70 |
| M21 | Westerlo · Away17 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −8.96 |
| M22 | Genk · Away25 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −8.97 |
| M23 | Antwerp · Home31 Jan 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.67 | −10.63 |
| M24 | Charleroi · Away7 Feb 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.83 | −8.80 |
| M25 | Club Brugge · Home15 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −9.59 |
| M26 | Gent · Away20 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | −7.77 |
| M27 | Dender · Home1 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.81 | −8.58 |
| M28 | Sint-Truiden · Away8 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −9.48 |
| M29 | RAAL La Louviere · Home15 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.71 | −11.19 |
| M30 | Anderlecht · Away22 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.91 | −9.29 |
| M31 | Waregem · Away4 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.36 | −9.65 |
| M32 | RAAL La Louviere · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.20 | −8.45 |
| M33 | Dender · Away19 Apr 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.26 | −7.18 |
| M34 | Dender · Home24 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.75 | −6.43 |
| M35 | Waregem · Home1 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.72 | −8.15 |
| M36 | RAAL La Louviere · Away9 May 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.21 | −9.36 |
| Total | 41 | −9.36 | |||