Points
57Points expected by the market
45.70Gap
+11.30Yield
+39.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.56 | +93.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 28 | −0.84 | −0.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 23 | +9.57 | +88.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.56 | +93.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 12 | −8.63 | −58.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.66 | +34.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 16 | +7.80 | +123.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 19 | +7.91 | +101.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | RAAL La Louviere · Away26 Jul 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +1.63 |
| M2 | Dender · Home2 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | +1.09 |
| M3 | Genk · Home10 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.04 | +3.13 |
| M4 | Union Saint-Gilloise · Away16 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.50 | +2.63 |
| M5 | Cercle Brugge · Home23 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.33 | +1.30 |
| M6 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Away31 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | +0.19 |
| M7 | Mechelen · Home12 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −0.36 |
| M8 | Westerlo · Away21 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.00 | +1.64 |
| M9 | Club Brugge · Home27 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | +0.88 |
| M10 | Anderlecht · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.78 | +0.10 |
| M11 | Antwerp · Home20 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +1.39 |
| M12 | Gent · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.01 | +0.38 |
| M13 | Charleroi · Home31 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +2.07 |
| M14 | Sint-Truiden · Away9 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | +1.02 |
| M15 | Waregem · Home21 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | +0.57 |
| M16 | Mechelen · Away28 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +2.31 |
| M17 | Cercle Brugge · Away6 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.99 | +4.30 |
| M18 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Home12 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.55 | +2.75 |
| M19 | Dender · Away20 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +4.60 |
| M20 | Sint-Truiden · Home26 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +3.50 |
| M21 | Charleroi · Away18 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | +2.53 |
| M22 | Gent · Home23 Jan 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.31 | +1.21 |
| M23 | Anderlecht · Home1 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +3.11 |
| M24 | Club Brugge · Away8 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.44 | +2.67 |
| M25 | Union Saint-Gilloise · Home14 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.38 | +3.05 |
| M26 | Genk · Away22 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.38 | +5.43 |
| M27 | RAAL La Louviere · Home27 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | +4.95 |
| M28 | Waregem · Away8 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.06 | +7.01 |
| M29 | Antwerp · Away15 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | +6.86 |
| M30 | Westerlo · Home22 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | +6.41 |
| M31 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Away4 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.90 | +8.31 |
| M32 | Westerlo · Home11 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | +6.85 |
| M33 | Charleroi · Away18 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.97 | +8.81 |
| M34 | Antwerp · Home21 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | +7.44 |
| M35 | Genk · Away25 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.25 | +7.69 |
| M36 | Antwerp · Away3 May 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +2.00 | +9.70 |
| M37 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Home8 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +10.97 |
| M38 | Genk · Home16 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | +10.81 |
| M39 | Westerlo · Away19 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.94 | +12.75 |
| M40 | Charleroi · Home23 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.45 | +11.30 |
| Total | 57 | +11.30 | |||