← Championship 2019-20

Arbroath

Season 2019-20 · 26 matches played

Last 5WWWDD

Points

36

Points expected by the market

29.39

Gap

+6.61

Yield

+40.0%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 3 3 5.02 −2.02 −33.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 13 23 16.31 +6.69 +32.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more 10 10 8.06 +1.94 +71.8%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Queen of the South · Home3 Aug 2019 3 Aug 2019 D 0-0 2.28 1.50 1 −0.50 −0.50 −€1.00
M2 Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away10 Aug 2019 10 Aug 2019 L 1-2 5.10 0.78 0 −0.78 −1.28 −€1.00
M3 Alloa · Away24 Aug 2019 24 Aug 2019 W 1-0 2.58 1.35 3 +1.65 +0.37 +€1.58
M4 Dunfermline · Home31 Aug 2019 31 Aug 2019 W 1-0 3.32 1.11 3 +1.89 +2.26 +€2.32
M5 Partick · Home13 Sep 2019 13 Sep 2019 D 1-1 2.61 1.33 1 −0.33 +1.93 −€1.00
M6 Dundee United · Away21 Sep 2019 21 Sep 2019 L 1-2 6.44 0.64 0 −0.64 +1.28 −€1.00
M7 Ayr · Home28 Sep 2019 28 Sep 2019 L 0-3 2.97 1.21 0 −1.21 +0.07 −€1.00
M8 Dundee · Away5 Oct 2019 5 Oct 2019 L 0-2 4.96 0.81 0 −0.81 −0.74 −€1.00
M9 Morton · Home19 Oct 2019 19 Oct 2019 W 1-0 2.55 1.37 3 +1.63 +0.89 +€1.55
M10 Partick · Away26 Oct 2019 26 Oct 2019 W 3-1 4.62 0.85 3 +2.15 +3.04 +€3.62
M11 Dunfermline · Away29 Oct 2019 29 Oct 2019 L 0-2 4.78 0.85 0 −0.85 +2.19 −€1.00
M12 Alloa · Home2 Nov 2019 2 Nov 2019 W 2-1 2.01 1.66 3 +1.34 +3.53 +€1.01
M13 Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home9 Nov 2019 9 Nov 2019 W 3-0 3.48 1.07 3 +1.93 +5.46 +€2.48
M14 Morton · Away16 Nov 2019 16 Nov 2019 L 0-1 3.14 1.17 0 −1.17 +4.29 −€1.00
M15 Dundee · Home7 Dec 2019 7 Dec 2019 D 1-1 3.38 1.10 1 −0.10 +4.19 −€1.00
M16 Ayr · Away10 Dec 2019 10 Dec 2019 D 1-1 4.10 0.95 1 +0.05 +4.24 −€1.00
M17 Dundee United · Home14 Dec 2019 14 Dec 2019 L 0-1 5.07 0.79 0 −0.79 +3.45 −€1.00
M18 Queen of the South · Away21 Dec 2019 21 Dec 2019 L 0-2 3.59 1.04 0 −1.04 +2.41 −€1.00
M19 Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away28 Dec 2019 28 Dec 2019 W 1-0 5.91 0.70 3 +2.30 +4.71 +€4.91
M20 Morton · Home4 Jan 2020 4 Jan 2020 L 1-2 1.99 1.67 0 −1.67 +3.04 −€1.00
M21 Alloa · Away21 Jan 2020 21 Jan 2020 L 0-2 1.95 1.69 0 −1.69 +1.35 −€1.00
M22 Partick · Home25 Jan 2020 25 Jan 2020 W 2-1 2.90 1.23 3 +1.77 +3.13 +€1.90
M23 Dundee United · Away1 Feb 2020 1 Feb 2020 W 1-0 6.65 0.65 3 +2.35 +5.48 +€5.65
M24 Queen of the South · Home15 Feb 2020 15 Feb 2020 W 2-0 2.38 1.45 3 +1.55 +7.03 +€1.38
M25 Dunfermline · Home4 Mar 2020 4 Mar 2020 D 0-0 2.84 1.27 1 −0.27 +6.76 −€1.00
M26 Morton · Away7 Mar 2020 7 Mar 2020 D 1-1 3.21 1.15 1 −0.15 +6.61 −€1.00
Total 29.39 36 +6.61 +€10.40