← Championship 2019-20

Ayr

Season 2019-20 · 27 matches played

Last 5LWDDL

Points

40

Points expected by the market

38.50

Gap

+1.50

Yield

+6.4%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 9 16 15.45 +0.55 +5.1%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 15 21 20.18 +0.82 +3.9%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 3 3 2.87 +0.13 +22.3%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Morton · Home3 Aug 2019 3 Aug 2019 W 4-2 2.06 1.63 3 +1.37 +1.37 +€1.06
M2 Dundee · Away10 Aug 2019 10 Aug 2019 L 0-1 2.96 1.22 0 −1.22 +0.15 −€1.00
M3 Queen of the South · Home24 Aug 2019 24 Aug 2019 W 1-0 2.10 1.60 3 +1.40 +1.55 +€1.10
M4 Partick · Away31 Aug 2019 31 Aug 2019 W 3-2 2.67 1.32 3 +1.68 +3.23 +€1.67
M5 Dundee United · Home14 Sep 2019 14 Sep 2019 W 2-0 3.67 1.02 3 +1.98 +5.21 +€2.67
M6 Alloa · Away21 Sep 2019 21 Sep 2019 W 4-1 1.88 1.73 3 +1.27 +6.48 +€0.88
M7 Arbroath · Away28 Sep 2019 28 Sep 2019 W 3-0 2.25 1.51 3 +1.49 +7.96 +€1.25
M8 Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home5 Oct 2019 5 Oct 2019 L 0-2 2.18 1.55 0 −1.55 +6.41 −€1.00
M9 Dunfermline · Away19 Oct 2019 19 Oct 2019 L 2-3 2.67 1.33 0 −1.33 +5.08 −€1.00
M10 Dundee · Home25 Oct 2019 25 Oct 2019 L 1-2 2.24 1.51 0 −1.51 +3.57 −€1.00
M11 Morton · Away29 Oct 2019 29 Oct 2019 W 3-2 2.41 1.44 3 +1.56 +5.13 +€1.41
M12 Partick · Home2 Nov 2019 2 Nov 2019 W 4-1 2.22 1.52 3 +1.48 +6.60 +€1.22
M13 Queen of the South · Away9 Nov 2019 9 Nov 2019 L 1-3 2.24 1.52 0 −1.52 +5.08 −€1.00
M14 Dunfermline · Home3 Dec 2019 3 Dec 2019 L 0-1 2.30 1.49 0 −1.49 +3.59 −€1.00
M15 Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away7 Dec 2019 7 Dec 2019 L 0-2 3.32 1.11 0 −1.11 +2.48 −€1.00
M16 Arbroath · Home10 Dec 2019 10 Dec 2019 D 1-1 1.83 1.79 1 −0.79 +1.69 −€1.00
M17 Alloa · Home14 Dec 2019 14 Dec 2019 W 2-1 1.53 2.04 3 +0.96 +2.65 +€0.53
M18 Dundee United · Away21 Dec 2019 21 Dec 2019 L 0-4 5.19 0.78 0 −0.78 +1.87 −€1.00
M19 Queen of the South · Home28 Dec 2019 28 Dec 2019 L 1-2 2.06 1.62 0 −1.62 +0.25 −€1.00
M20 Dunfermline · Away4 Jan 2020 4 Jan 2020 W 1-0 3.47 1.07 3 +1.93 +2.18 +€2.47
M21 Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home25 Jan 2020 25 Jan 2020 W 1-0 2.57 1.36 3 +1.64 +3.82 +€1.57
M22 Partick · Away31 Jan 2020 31 Jan 2020 D 1-1 2.75 1.28 1 −0.28 +3.53 −€1.00
M23 Morton · Home25 Feb 2020 25 Feb 2020 L 1-2 1.85 1.76 0 −1.76 +1.77 −€1.00
M24 Alloa · Away29 Feb 2020 29 Feb 2020 W 2-0 1.89 1.73 3 +1.27 +3.05 +€0.89
M25 Dundee United · Home3 Mar 2020 3 Mar 2020 D 0-0 2.97 1.23 1 −0.23 +2.82 −€1.00
M26 Dundee · Home7 Mar 2020 7 Mar 2020 D 0-0 2.96 1.24 1 −0.24 +2.58 −€1.00
M27 Dundee · Away10 Mar 2020 10 Mar 2020 L 0-2 3.57 1.08 0 −1.08 +1.50 −€1.00
Total 38.50 40 +1.50 +€1.72