← Championship 2019-20

Dunfermline

Season 2019-20 · 28 matches played

Last 5LWDDD

Points

37

Points expected by the market

42.13

Gap

−5.13

Yield

−14.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches 1 0 2.26 −2.26 −100.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 10 12 17.81 −5.81 −46.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 15 22 20.25 +1.75 +1.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 2 3 1.81 +1.19 +77.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Dundee · Home2 Aug 2019 2 Aug 2019 D 2-2 2.79 1.28 1 −0.28 −0.28 −€1.00
M2 Queen of the South · Away10 Aug 2019 10 Aug 2019 D 1-1 2.18 1.55 1 −0.55 −0.83 −€1.00
M3 Dundee United · Home24 Aug 2019 24 Aug 2019 L 0-2 3.20 1.15 0 −1.15 −1.99 −€1.00
M4 Arbroath · Away31 Aug 2019 31 Aug 2019 L 0-1 2.07 1.62 0 −1.62 −3.60 −€1.00
M5 Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home14 Sep 2019 14 Sep 2019 L 0-1 2.71 1.31 0 −1.31 −4.91 −€1.00
M6 Partick · Away21 Sep 2019 21 Sep 2019 W 3-0 2.62 1.35 3 +1.65 −3.26 +€1.62
M7 Alloa · Home28 Sep 2019 28 Sep 2019 D 1-1 1.52 2.05 1 −1.05 −4.32 −€1.00
M8 Morton · Away5 Oct 2019 5 Oct 2019 D 1-1 2.29 1.49 1 −0.49 −4.81 −€1.00
M9 Ayr · Home19 Oct 2019 19 Oct 2019 W 3-2 2.56 1.38 3 +1.62 −3.19 +€1.56
M10 Dundee United · Away26 Oct 2019 26 Oct 2019 L 0-2 5.53 0.74 0 −0.74 −3.93 −€1.00
M11 Arbroath · Home29 Oct 2019 29 Oct 2019 W 2-0 1.71 1.89 3 +1.11 −2.82 +€0.71
M12 Queen of the South · Home2 Nov 2019 2 Nov 2019 W 2-0 2.01 1.67 3 +1.33 −1.49 +€1.01
M13 Alloa · Away9 Nov 2019 9 Nov 2019 L 1-2 1.70 1.89 0 −1.89 −3.38 −€1.00
M14 Partick · Home30 Nov 2019 30 Nov 2019 W 5-1 2.24 1.53 3 +1.47 −1.91 +€1.24
M15 Ayr · Away3 Dec 2019 3 Dec 2019 W 1-0 2.98 1.22 3 +1.78 −0.13 +€1.98
M16 Morton · Home7 Dec 2019 7 Dec 2019 W 3-1 1.62 1.97 3 +1.03 +0.91 +€0.62
M17 Dundee · Away14 Dec 2019 14 Dec 2019 L 3-4 2.82 1.28 0 −1.28 −0.38 −€1.00
M18 Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away21 Dec 2019 21 Dec 2019 L 0-2 3.36 1.11 0 −1.11 −1.49 −€1.00
M19 Alloa · Home28 Dec 2019 28 Dec 2019 L 1-3 1.35 2.26 0 −2.26 −3.74 −€1.00
M20 Ayr · Home4 Jan 2020 4 Jan 2020 L 0-1 2.01 1.65 0 −1.65 −5.40 −€1.00
M21 Morton · Away11 Jan 2020 11 Jan 2020 L 2-3 2.10 1.60 0 −1.60 −7.00 −€1.00
M22 Dundee · Home24 Jan 2020 24 Jan 2020 W 2-0 2.43 1.43 3 +1.57 −5.44 +€1.43
M23 Queen of the South · Away1 Feb 2020 1 Feb 2020 W 3-2 2.32 1.49 3 +1.51 −3.93 +€1.32
M24 Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home25 Feb 2020 25 Feb 2020 L 1-2 2.27 1.51 0 −1.51 −5.43 −€1.00
M25 Dundee United · Home29 Feb 2020 29 Feb 2020 W 2-0 3.54 1.07 3 +1.93 −3.50 +€2.54
M26 Arbroath · Away4 Mar 2020 4 Mar 2020 D 0-0 2.44 1.43 1 −0.43 −3.93 −€1.00
M27 Queen of the South · Home7 Mar 2020 7 Mar 2020 D 1-1 1.67 1.92 1 −0.92 −4.85 −€1.00
M28 Partick · Away10 Mar 2020 10 Mar 2020 D 1-1 2.81 1.28 1 −0.28 −5.13 −€1.00
Total 42.13 37 −5.13 −€3.97