← Championship 2019-20

Queen of the South

Season 2019-20 · 28 matches played

Last 5LLDDL

Points

28

Points expected by the market

33.96

Gap

−5.96

Yield

−17.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 4 6 7.33 −1.33 0.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 14 11 17.77 −6.77 −54.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more 10 11 8.86 +2.14 +28.2%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Arbroath · Away3 Aug 2019 3 Aug 2019 D 0-0 2.98 1.22 1 −0.22 −0.22 −€1.00
M2 Dunfermline · Home10 Aug 2019 10 Aug 2019 D 1-1 3.11 1.17 1 −0.17 −0.39 −€1.00
M3 Ayr · Away24 Aug 2019 24 Aug 2019 L 0-1 3.28 1.12 0 −1.12 −1.51 −€1.00
M4 Alloa · Home31 Aug 2019 31 Aug 2019 L 0-1 1.59 1.97 0 −1.97 −3.48 −€1.00
M5 Morton · Home14 Sep 2019 14 Sep 2019 W 1-0 2.05 1.62 3 +1.38 −2.10 +€1.05
M6 Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away21 Sep 2019 21 Sep 2019 L 0-2 4.63 0.85 0 −0.85 −2.94 −€1.00
M7 Dundee · Home27 Sep 2019 27 Sep 2019 D 1-1 2.94 1.24 1 −0.24 −3.18 −€1.00
M8 Partick · Away5 Oct 2019 5 Oct 2019 W 1-0 4.11 0.93 3 +2.07 −1.12 +€3.11
M9 Dundee United · Home19 Oct 2019 19 Oct 2019 W 4-0 4.39 0.88 3 +2.12 +1.00 +€3.39
M10 Alloa · Away26 Oct 2019 26 Oct 2019 D 2-2 2.21 1.53 1 −0.53 +0.47 −€1.00
M11 Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home29 Oct 2019 29 Oct 2019 L 0-2 2.69 1.31 0 −1.31 −0.84 −€1.00
M12 Dunfermline · Away2 Nov 2019 2 Nov 2019 L 0-2 3.67 1.04 0 −1.04 −1.89 −€1.00
M13 Ayr · Home9 Nov 2019 9 Nov 2019 W 3-1 3.02 1.20 3 +1.80 −0.09 +€2.02
M14 Dundee United · Away16 Nov 2019 16 Nov 2019 L 0-3 6.20 0.67 0 −0.67 −0.76 −€1.00
M15 Dundee · Away30 Nov 2019 30 Nov 2019 W 2-1 4.32 0.90 3 +2.10 +1.35 +€3.32
M16 Partick · Home7 Dec 2019 7 Dec 2019 L 1-2 2.47 1.40 0 −1.40 −0.06 −€1.00
M17 Arbroath · Home21 Dec 2019 21 Dec 2019 W 2-0 1.95 1.69 3 +1.31 +1.25 +€0.95
M18 Ayr · Away28 Dec 2019 28 Dec 2019 W 2-1 3.33 1.11 3 +1.89 +3.14 +€2.33
M19 Dundee United · Home4 Jan 2020 4 Jan 2020 L 0-1 3.57 1.04 0 −1.04 +2.10 −€1.00
M20 Alloa · Home25 Jan 2020 25 Jan 2020 L 2-3 1.51 2.05 0 −2.05 +0.05 −€1.00
M21 Dunfermline · Home1 Feb 2020 1 Feb 2020 L 2-3 3.03 1.21 0 −1.21 −1.17 −€1.00
M22 Morton · Away8 Feb 2020 8 Feb 2020 D 2-2 2.75 1.29 1 −0.29 −1.45 −€1.00
M23 Arbroath · Away15 Feb 2020 15 Feb 2020 L 0-2 2.86 1.26 0 −1.26 −2.71 −€1.00
M24 Dundee · Home22 Feb 2020 22 Feb 2020 L 0-1 2.91 1.24 0 −1.24 −3.95 −€1.00
M25 Morton · Home29 Feb 2020 29 Feb 2020 L 0-4 2.34 1.47 0 −1.47 −5.42 −€1.00
M26 Partick · Away3 Mar 2020 3 Mar 2020 D 0-0 3.90 0.97 1 +0.03 −5.39 −€1.00
M27 Dunfermline · Away7 Mar 2020 7 Mar 2020 D 1-1 4.80 0.83 1 +0.17 −5.22 −€1.00
M28 Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away10 Mar 2020 10 Mar 2020 L 1-3 5.37 0.74 0 −0.74 −5.96 −€1.00
Total 33.96 28 −5.96 −€4.83