← Championship 2020-21

Alloa

Season 2020-21 · 27 matches played

Last 5LLLDW

Points

22

Points expected by the market

24.66

Gap

−2.66

Yield

−32.1%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 0 — — — —
Even 2.20 – 3.49 7 6 8.34 −2.34 −60.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more 20 16 16.32 −0.32 −22.1%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Morton · Away17 Oct 2020 17 Oct 2020 L 0-1 3.65 1.01 0 −1.01 −1.01 −€1.00
M2 Dunfermline · Home24 Oct 2020 24 Oct 2020 L 1-4 4.50 0.86 0 −0.86 −1.88 −€1.00
M3 Dundee · Home6 Nov 2020 6 Nov 2020 D 3-3 3.82 1.00 1 0.00 −1.88 −€1.00
M4 Queen of the South · Away21 Nov 2020 21 Nov 2020 L 0-2 3.30 1.11 0 −1.11 −2.99 −€1.00
M5 Hearts · Away24 Nov 2020 24 Nov 2020 L 0-3 14.50 0.33 0 −0.33 −3.31 −€1.00
M6 Ayr · Home5 Dec 2020 5 Dec 2020 L 0-2 3.01 1.20 0 −1.20 −4.51 −€1.00
M7 Arbroath · Away12 Dec 2020 12 Dec 2020 W 1-0 3.68 1.03 3 +1.97 −2.54 +€2.68
M8 Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home19 Dec 2020 19 Dec 2020 W 2-1 3.77 0.99 3 +2.01 −0.53 +€2.77
M9 Raith Rovers · Home26 Dec 2020 26 Dec 2020 L 2-5 3.34 1.11 0 −1.11 −1.63 −€1.00
M10 Dundee · Away29 Dec 2020 29 Dec 2020 L 1-3 6.27 0.67 0 −0.67 −2.31 −€1.00
M11 Morton · Home2 Jan 2021 2 Jan 2021 D 1-1 2.63 1.33 1 −0.33 −2.64 −€1.00
M12 Hearts · Home16 Jan 2021 16 Jan 2021 L 1-3 9.35 0.47 0 −0.47 −3.11 −€1.00
M13 Ayr · Away30 Jan 2021 30 Jan 2021 L 1-4 3.77 0.99 0 −0.99 −4.09 −€1.00
M14 Queen of the South · Home6 Feb 2021 6 Feb 2021 W 2-1 2.76 1.27 3 +1.73 −2.37 +€1.76
M15 Arbroath · Home13 Feb 2021 13 Feb 2021 D 1-1 3.14 1.16 1 −0.16 −2.52 −€1.00
M16 Dunfermline · Away20 Feb 2021 20 Feb 2021 L 1-2 6.30 0.66 0 −0.66 −3.18 −€1.00
M17 Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away23 Feb 2021 23 Feb 2021 D 2-2 6.00 0.69 1 +0.31 −2.87 −€1.00
M18 Raith Rovers · Away27 Feb 2021 27 Feb 2021 L 1-3 4.12 0.93 0 −0.93 −3.80 −€1.00
M19 Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home6 Mar 2021 6 Mar 2021 D 1-1 3.92 0.96 1 +0.04 −3.76 −€1.00
M20 Queen of the South · Away13 Mar 2021 13 Mar 2021 W 3-2 4.08 0.93 3 +2.07 −1.69 +€3.08
M21 Dundee · Home19 Mar 2021 19 Mar 2021 L 0-3 5.01 0.80 0 −0.80 −2.50 −€1.00
M22 Ayr · Home27 Mar 2021 27 Mar 2021 D 2-2 3.13 1.17 1 −0.17 −2.66 −€1.00
M23 Arbroath · Away3 Apr 2021 3 Apr 2021 L 1-2 4.36 0.91 0 −0.91 −3.57 −€1.00
M24 Hearts · Away9 Apr 2021 9 Apr 2021 L 0-6 13.72 0.34 0 −0.34 −3.91 −€1.00
M25 Raith Rovers · Home17 Apr 2021 17 Apr 2021 L 1-2 4.17 0.92 0 −0.92 −4.82 −€1.00
M26 Morton · Away24 Apr 2021 24 Apr 2021 D 1-1 4.35 0.89 1 +0.11 −4.72 −€1.00
M27 Dunfermline · Home30 Apr 2021 30 Apr 2021 W 1-0 4.04 0.94 3 +2.06 −2.66 +€3.04
Total 24.66 22 −2.66 −€8.67