Points
30Points expected by the market
32.14Gap
−2.14Yield
−31.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 5 | −3.35 | −64.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 20 | +3.08 | +0.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 5 | −1.87 | −58.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 4 | −2.78 | −55.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 12 | +3.73 | +27.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 5 | +2.19 | −5.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.57 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 8 | −0.66 | −22.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 0 | −4.06 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Raith Rovers · Away17 Oct 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −1.34 |
| M2 | Hearts · Home23 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.39 | −1.73 |
| M3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away31 Oct 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −2.88 |
| M4 | Queen of the South · Home7 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −3.32 |
| M5 | Morton · Home21 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | −3.82 |
| M6 | Dundee · Away5 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −4.76 |
| M7 | Alloa · Home12 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.70 | −6.46 |
| M8 | Ayr · Home19 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | −4.73 |
| M9 | Dunfermline · Away26 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | −5.64 |
| M10 | Hearts · Away29 Dec 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.37 | −6.01 |
| M11 | Queen of the South · Away16 Jan 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | −6.20 |
| M12 | Dundee · Home22 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | −6.05 |
| M13 | Morton · Away30 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.65 | −4.41 |
| M14 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home3 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | −4.54 |
| M15 | Dunfermline · Home6 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.99 | −2.55 |
| M16 | Alloa · Away13 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −3.12 |
| M17 | Raith Rovers · Home20 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −1.55 |
| M18 | Ayr · Away27 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +0.16 |
| M19 | Queen of the South · Home6 Mar 2021 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.61 | −1.44 |
| M20 | Dundee · Away13 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −2.30 |
| M21 | Hearts · Home20 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.44 | −1.87 |
| M22 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away27 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | −2.85 |
| M23 | Alloa · Home3 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | −1.67 |
| M24 | Raith Rovers · Away10 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.12 | −1.80 |
| M25 | Ayr · Home17 Apr 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −0.28 |
| M26 | Dunfermline · Away24 Apr 2021 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.49 |
| M27 | Morton · Home30 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.65 | −2.14 |
| Total | 30 | −2.14 | |||