Points
29Points expected by the market
33.71Gap
−4.71Yield
−41.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +1.35 | −6.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 17 | −5.68 | −57.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −0.37 | −19.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.90 | +24.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −2.75 | −65.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.70 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.56 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 9 | −2.93 | −49.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +1.32 | +20.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Queen of the South · Home17 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +1.28 |
| M2 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away24 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +0.97 |
| M3 | Morton · Away31 Oct 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.25 | −0.29 |
| M4 | Dunfermline · Home7 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.58 |
| M5 | Dundee · Home21 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +1.13 |
| M6 | Alloa · Away5 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +2.60 |
| M7 | Raith Rovers · Home11 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | +2.17 |
| M8 | Arbroath · Away19 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | +0.74 |
| M9 | Hearts · Away26 Dec 2020 | L 3-5 | 0 | −0.47 | +0.27 |
| M10 | Morton · Home29 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | −0.34 |
| M11 | Queen of the South · Away2 Jan 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.32 | −1.66 |
| M12 | Dunfermline · Away23 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.12 | −1.55 |
| M13 | Alloa · Home30 Jan 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.23 | −0.31 |
| M14 | Hearts · Home5 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.64 | −0.95 |
| M15 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home20 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −2.22 |
| M16 | Arbroath · Home27 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | −3.64 |
| M17 | Morton · Away6 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | −2.11 |
| M18 | Raith Rovers · Away9 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | −2.31 |
| M19 | Hearts · Away13 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.50 | −2.81 |
| M20 | Dundee · Away16 Mar 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.18 | −0.63 |
| M21 | Raith Rovers · Home20 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −1.04 |
| M22 | Alloa · Away27 Mar 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.56 | −1.59 |
| M23 | Dundee · Home6 Apr 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −2.66 |
| M24 | Dunfermline · Home10 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −2.99 |
| M25 | Arbroath · Away17 Apr 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.21 | −4.19 |
| M26 | Queen of the South · Home24 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | −4.51 |
| M27 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away30 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.20 | −4.71 |
| Total | 29 | −4.71 | |||