Points
45Points expected by the market
44.40Gap
+0.60Yield
−11.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.90 | +49.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 33 | +0.35 | −10.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | −1.09 | −54.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.44 | +29.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.90 | +49.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 17 | +0.20 | −0.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.04 | +14.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.03 | +288.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 16 | +0.15 | −19.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 2 | −2.13 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.59 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hearts · Away16 Oct 2020 | L 2-6 | 0 | −0.84 | −0.84 |
| M2 | Morton · Home24 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +0.22 |
| M3 | Raith Rovers · Home31 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | −0.53 |
| M4 | Alloa · Away6 Nov 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.73 | −1.27 |
| M5 | Ayr · Away21 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −2.71 |
| M6 | Arbroath · Home5 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | −1.51 |
| M7 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away12 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.20 | −1.71 |
| M8 | Dunfermline · Home19 Dec 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.46 | −2.18 |
| M9 | Queen of the South · Away26 Dec 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.29 | −0.89 |
| M10 | Alloa · Home29 Dec 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.90 | +0.01 |
| M11 | Hearts · Home2 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.03 | +2.04 |
| M12 | Arbroath · Away22 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.90 | +1.14 |
| M13 | Raith Rovers · Away30 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.63 | −0.49 |
| M14 | Queen of the South · Home20 Feb 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.98 | −2.47 |
| M15 | Morton · Away27 Feb 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.77 | −3.24 |
| M16 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home2 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −1.74 |
| M17 | Hearts · Away6 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −2.49 |
| M18 | Arbroath · Home13 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.12 | −1.37 |
| M19 | Ayr · Home16 Mar 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.94 | −3.31 |
| M20 | Alloa · Away19 Mar 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.05 | −2.26 |
| M21 | Dunfermline · Home27 Mar 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.25 | −1.01 |
| M22 | Ayr · Away6 Apr 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +0.32 |
| M23 | Morton · Home10 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.05 | −0.73 |
| M24 | Dunfermline · Away13 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | −1.32 |
| M25 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away20 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −1.81 |
| M26 | Raith Rovers · Home24 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | −0.51 |
| M27 | Queen of the South · Away30 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +0.60 |
| Total | 45 | +0.60 | |||