Points
39Points expected by the market
41.31Gap
−2.31Yield
−21.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.88 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 24 | −1.02 | −9.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −2.75 | −70.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.59 | +16.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.88 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 19 | +4.32 | +37.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.16 | −21.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.23 | +133.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 5 | −5.34 | −71.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 4 | −2.60 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.64 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home17 Oct 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +1.34 |
| M2 | Alloa · Away24 Oct 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.11 | +2.45 |
| M3 | Queen of the South · Home31 Oct 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.07 | +3.52 |
| M4 | Ayr · Away7 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | +3.08 |
| M5 | Hearts · Home20 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.15 | +5.23 |
| M6 | Raith Rovers · Away5 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.56 | +4.67 |
| M7 | Morton · Home12 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.02 | +2.65 |
| M8 | Dundee · Away19 Dec 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.25 | +2.40 |
| M9 | Arbroath · Home26 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +3.56 |
| M10 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away29 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | +3.33 |
| M11 | Morton · Away15 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.71 | +2.61 |
| M12 | Ayr · Home23 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.88 | +1.74 |
| M13 | Hearts · Away30 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.66 | +1.08 |
| M14 | Raith Rovers · Home3 Feb 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +2.39 |
| M15 | Arbroath · Away6 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.72 | +0.67 |
| M16 | Alloa · Home20 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.88 | +1.55 |
| M17 | Queen of the South · Away27 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.66 | −0.11 |
| M18 | Morton · Home13 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +0.86 |
| M19 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home20 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | −0.68 |
| M20 | Dundee · Away27 Mar 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.98 | −1.66 |
| M21 | Raith Rovers · Away30 Mar 2021 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.30 | −2.96 |
| M22 | Hearts · Home3 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.09 | −2.87 |
| M23 | Ayr · Away10 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −3.25 |
| M24 | Dundee · Home13 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | −3.39 |
| M25 | Queen of the South · Home17 Apr 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.36 | −2.03 |
| M26 | Arbroath · Home24 Apr 2021 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.52 | −0.51 |
| M27 | Alloa · Away30 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.80 | −2.31 |
| Total | 39 | −2.31 | |||