Points
57Points expected by the market
58.89Gap
−1.89Yield
−11.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 17 | 39 | −0.80 | −9.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 18 | −1.09 | −16.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | 25 | −1.07 | −7.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +3.20 | +65.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 14 | +0.27 | −12.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 9 | −4.28 | −51.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dundee · Home16 Oct 2020 | W 6-2 | 3 | +1.10 | +1.10 |
| M2 | Arbroath · Away23 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.55 | +1.65 |
| M3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home7 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.72 | +2.37 |
| M4 | Dunfermline · Away20 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.89 | +0.48 |
| M5 | Alloa · Home24 Nov 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.46 | +0.94 |
| M6 | Morton · Away5 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +1.73 |
| M7 | Queen of the South · Home12 Dec 2020 | W 6-1 | 3 | +0.63 | +2.36 |
| M8 | Ayr · Home26 Dec 2020 | W 5-3 | 3 | +0.64 | +3.00 |
| M9 | Arbroath · Home29 Dec 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.51 | +3.51 |
| M10 | Dundee · Away2 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.77 | +1.74 |
| M11 | Alloa · Away16 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.64 | +2.38 |
| M12 | Raith Rovers · Home23 Jan 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.36 | +0.01 |
| M13 | Raith Rovers · Away26 Jan 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +0.95 |
| M14 | Dunfermline · Home30 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +1.83 |
| M15 | Ayr · Away5 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.83 | +2.66 |
| M16 | Queen of the South · Away12 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.32 | +1.34 |
| M17 | Morton · Home20 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.46 | −0.12 |
| M18 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away26 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.94 | −1.06 |
| M19 | Dundee · Home6 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.98 | −0.08 |
| M20 | Ayr · Home13 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +0.60 |
| M21 | Arbroath · Away20 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.22 | −0.63 |
| M22 | Queen of the South · Home27 Mar 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.23 | −2.85 |
| M23 | Dunfermline · Away3 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.83 | −3.68 |
| M24 | Alloa · Home9 Apr 2021 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.47 | −3.21 |
| M25 | Morton · Away20 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.08 | −4.29 |
| M26 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home24 Apr 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.12 | −3.17 |
| M27 | Raith Rovers · Away30 Apr 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −1.89 |
| Total | 57 | −1.89 | |||