Points
36Points expected by the market
38.97Gap
−2.97Yield
−29.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.09 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 12 | −3.46 | −32.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 22 | +2.80 | −6.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.22 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.09 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 6 | −1.10 | +1.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 9 | −1.08 | −67.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.17 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 6 | −2.37 | −58.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 13 | +3.88 | +53.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.40 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dunfermline · Away17 Oct 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.07 | −1.07 |
| M2 | Ayr · Home24 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −1.47 |
| M3 | Arbroath · Home31 Oct 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.42 | −0.05 |
| M4 | Hearts · Away7 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.53 | −0.58 |
| M5 | Raith Rovers · Home21 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +0.94 |
| M6 | Queen of the South · Away4 Dec 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +2.49 |
| M7 | Dundee · Home12 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.52 | +1.97 |
| M8 | Alloa · Away19 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.75 | +0.22 |
| M9 | Dunfermline · Home29 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −0.25 |
| M10 | Morton · Away27 Jan 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.61 | −0.87 |
| M11 | Arbroath · Away3 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −1.45 |
| M12 | Queen of the South · Home17 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.92 | −3.37 |
| M13 | Ayr · Away20 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −1.83 |
| M14 | Alloa · Home23 Feb 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.09 | −2.92 |
| M15 | Hearts · Home26 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.17 | −2.74 |
| M16 | Dundee · Away2 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −3.96 |
| M17 | Alloa · Away6 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | −4.75 |
| M18 | Morton · Home9 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.87 | −6.61 |
| M19 | Raith Rovers · Home12 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | −7.11 |
| M20 | Raith Rovers · Away16 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −5.36 |
| M21 | Dunfermline · Away20 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | −3.54 |
| M22 | Arbroath · Home27 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −2.27 |
| M23 | Morton · Away6 Apr 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.37 | −0.90 |
| M24 | Queen of the South · Away10 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −1.39 |
| M25 | Dundee · Home20 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | −1.62 |
| M26 | Hearts · Away24 Apr 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −2.49 |
| M27 | Ayr · Home30 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.48 | −2.97 |
| Total | 36 | −2.97 | |||