← Championship 2020-21

Queen of the South

Season 2020-21 · 27 matches played

Last 5DLLDL

Points

Points expected by the market

30.57

Gap

+1.43

Yield

+35.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	2	3	3.44	−0.44	+3.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	14	13	18.48	−5.48	−42.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more	11	16	8.65	+7.35	+141.1%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	2	3	3.44	−0.44	+3.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	7	8	9.56	−1.56	−32.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	4	3.47	+0.53	−12.5%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	7	5	8.92	−3.92	−52.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more	7	12	5.18	+6.82	+228.9%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Ayr · Away17 Oct 2020	17 Oct 2020	L 1-2	3.66	1.02	0	−1.02	−1.02	−€1.00
M2	Raith Rovers · Home24 Oct 2020	24 Oct 2020	L 2-5	2.72	1.30	0	−1.30	−2.33	−€1.00
M3	Dunfermline · Away31 Oct 2020	31 Oct 2020	L 2-3	4.80	0.82	0	−0.82	−3.15	−€1.00
M4	Arbroath · Away7 Nov 2020	7 Nov 2020	D 1-1	2.79	1.27	1	−0.27	−3.43	−€1.00
M5	Alloa · Home21 Nov 2020	21 Nov 2020	W 2-0	2.06	1.62	3	+1.38	−2.05	+€1.06
M6	Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home4 Dec 2020	4 Dec 2020	L 0-3	2.78	1.27	0	−1.27	−3.32	−€1.00
M7	Hearts · Away12 Dec 2020	12 Dec 2020	L 1-6	9.24	0.47	0	−0.47	−3.78	−€1.00
M8	Morton · Away19 Dec 2020	19 Dec 2020	L 0-2	2.97	1.20	0	−1.20	−4.98	−€1.00
M9	Dundee · Home26 Dec 2020	26 Dec 2020	L 1-3	3.65	1.03	0	−1.03	−6.01	−€1.00
M10	Raith Rovers · Away29 Dec 2020	29 Dec 2020	W 2-0	5.97	0.67	3	+2.33	−3.68	+€4.97
M11	Ayr · Home2 Jan 2021	2 Jan 2021	W 3-2	2.46	1.40	3	+1.60	−2.08	+€1.46
M12	Arbroath · Home16 Jan 2021	16 Jan 2021	D 2-2	2.22	1.53	1	−0.53	−2.61	−€1.00
M13	Morton · Home23 Jan 2021	23 Jan 2021	W 2-1	2.25	1.51	3	+1.49	−1.13	+€1.25
M14	Alloa · Away6 Feb 2021	6 Feb 2021	L 1-2	2.34	1.45	0	−1.45	−2.58	−€1.00
M15	Hearts · Home12 Feb 2021	12 Feb 2021	D 1-1	8.36	0.51	1	+0.49	−2.09	−€1.00
M16	Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away17 Feb 2021	17 Feb 2021	W 1-0	4.56	0.84	3	+2.16	+0.07	+€3.56
M17	Dundee · Away20 Feb 2021	20 Feb 2021	W 3-2	5.09	0.78	3	+2.22	+2.28	+€4.09
M18	Dunfermline · Home27 Feb 2021	27 Feb 2021	W 1-0	3.50	1.07	3	+1.93	+4.22	+€2.50
M19	Arbroath · Away6 Mar 2021	6 Mar 2021	W 4-2	3.33	1.11	3	+1.89	+6.10	+€2.33
M20	Alloa · Home13 Mar 2021	13 Mar 2021	L 2-3	1.78	1.82	0	−1.82	+4.29	−€1.00
M21	Morton · Away20 Mar 2021	20 Mar 2021	L 1-2	2.50	1.40	0	−1.40	+2.89	−€1.00
M22	Hearts · Away27 Mar 2021	27 Mar 2021	W 3-2	7.40	0.57	3	+2.43	+5.32	+€6.40
M23	Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home10 Apr 2021	10 Apr 2021	D 1-1	2.94	1.23	1	−0.23	+5.09	−€1.00
M24	Raith Rovers · Home13 Apr 2021	13 Apr 2021	L 0-1	2.69	1.31	0	−1.31	+3.78	−€1.00
M25	Dunfermline · Away17 Apr 2021	17 Apr 2021	L 1-3	3.47	1.08	0	−1.08	+2.70	−€1.00
M26	Ayr · Away24 Apr 2021	24 Apr 2021	D 0-0	2.50	1.40	1	−0.40	+2.30	−€1.00
M27	Dundee · Home30 Apr 2021	30 Apr 2021	L 0-2	4.50	0.87	0	−0.87	+1.43	−€1.00
Total					30.57	32	+1.43		+€9.62