Points
43Points expected by the market
36.35Gap
+6.65Yield
+26.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.12 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 16 | +5.72 | +57.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 23 | +4.34 | +11.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.29 | +51.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.12 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 10 | +3.18 | +40.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 11 | +2.97 | +39.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.75 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.54 | +91.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +1.38 | −8.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.46 | +126.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Arbroath · Home17 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +1.62 |
| M2 | Queen of the South · Away24 Oct 2020 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.59 | +3.20 |
| M3 | Dundee · Away31 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | +3.21 |
| M4 | Morton · Home7 Nov 2020 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +4.57 |
| M5 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away21 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.25 | +3.32 |
| M6 | Dunfermline · Home5 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.18 | +3.13 |
| M7 | Ayr · Away11 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | +2.84 |
| M8 | Alloa · Away26 Dec 2020 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.38 | +4.21 |
| M9 | Queen of the South · Home29 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.12 | +2.09 |
| M10 | Hearts · Away23 Jan 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.53 | +4.62 |
| M11 | Hearts · Home26 Jan 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.72 | +3.89 |
| M12 | Dundee · Home30 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.89 | +5.79 |
| M13 | Dunfermline · Away3 Feb 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.05 | +4.74 |
| M14 | Morton · Away6 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +6.29 |
| M15 | Arbroath · Away20 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | +5.00 |
| M16 | Alloa · Home27 Feb 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +6.18 |
| M17 | Ayr · Home9 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | +5.67 |
| M18 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away12 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | +5.46 |
| M19 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home16 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | +4.01 |
| M20 | Ayr · Away20 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +3.71 |
| M21 | Morton · Home27 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +4.93 |
| M22 | Dunfermline · Home30 Mar 2021 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +6.54 |
| M23 | Arbroath · Home10 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.59 | +5.94 |
| M24 | Queen of the South · Away13 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +7.53 |
| M25 | Alloa · Away17 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +8.70 |
| M26 | Dundee · Away24 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | +7.67 |
| M27 | Hearts · Home30 Apr 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.02 | +6.65 |
| Total | 43 | +6.65 | |||