Points
40Points expected by the market
40.32Gap
−0.32Yield
−14.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.16 | +76.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 25 | −1.29 | −25.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 12 | −0.19 | −5.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.16 | +76.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 13 | −3.60 | −53.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.99 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +2.32 | +19.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 10 | +1.80 | +32.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dunfermline · Home31 Jul 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.05 |
| M2 | Hamilton · Away7 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.01 | +1.96 |
| M3 | Queen of the South · Home21 Aug 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.48 | +0.48 |
| M4 | Partick · Away28 Aug 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.86 | −0.38 |
| M5 | Kilmarnock · Away11 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.69 | −1.07 |
| M6 | Raith Rovers · Home18 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −2.23 |
| M7 | Ayr · Away25 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | −2.45 |
| M8 | Arbroath · Home2 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.26 | −2.71 |
| M9 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away16 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −3.46 |
| M10 | Queen of the South · Away23 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | −3.59 |
| M11 | Partick · Home26 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | −3.69 |
| M12 | Hamilton · Home30 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | −4.00 |
| M13 | Dunfermline · Away6 Nov 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.85 | −2.15 |
| M14 | Kilmarnock · Home13 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −3.12 |
| M15 | Raith Rovers · Away20 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −3.97 |
| M16 | Ayr · Home4 Dec 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | −4.45 |
| M17 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home11 Dec 2021 | L 1-6 | 0 | −1.05 | −5.50 |
| M18 | Arbroath · Away18 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −6.25 |
| M19 | Kilmarnock · Away29 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | −5.98 |
| M20 | Dunfermline · Home8 Jan 2022 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.66 | −4.32 |
| M21 | Ayr · Away15 Jan 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.87 | −2.46 |
| M22 | Raith Rovers · Home28 Jan 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | −2.73 |
| M23 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away5 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.15 | −0.58 |
| M24 | Queen of the South · Home12 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +0.58 |
| M25 | Hamilton · Away19 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | −0.55 |
| M26 | Partick · Away22 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.12 | +1.57 |
| M27 | Arbroath · Home26 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | +1.34 |
| M28 | Queen of the South · Away5 Mar 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.57 | −0.23 |
| M29 | Partick · Home12 Mar 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | +1.65 |
| M30 | Dunfermline · Away18 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | +1.53 |
| M31 | Ayr · Home26 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +1.18 |
| M32 | Kilmarnock · Home1 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | +1.26 |
| M33 | Raith Rovers · Away9 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +3.01 |
| M34 | Hamilton · Home16 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | +1.75 |
| M35 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home23 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | +0.52 |
| M36 | Arbroath · Away29 Apr 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −0.32 |
| Total | 40 | −0.32 | |||