Points
52Points expected by the market
45.95Gap
+6.05Yield
+19.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.89 | +47.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +1.19 | −1.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 30 | +3.78 | +21.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 8 | +0.19 | +26.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.89 | +47.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | +0.06 | −16.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 20 | +6.26 | +57.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.49 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.13 | +72.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −2.48 | −14.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 7 | +0.68 | +62.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dunfermline · Away5 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −1.08 |
| M2 | Partick · Home12 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.87 | +0.80 |
| M3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home26 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +2.17 |
| M4 | Dundee United · Away2 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.72 | +1.45 |
| M5 | Arbroath · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.37 | +0.08 |
| M6 | Raith Rovers · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +1.76 |
| M7 | Morton · Away30 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +3.55 |
| M8 | Ayr · Home7 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | +1.98 |
| M9 | Queens Park · Home20 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | +1.37 |
| M10 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | +0.19 |
| M11 | Dundee United · Home31 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.74 | −0.55 |
| M12 | Raith Rovers · Away4 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.08 | −0.48 |
| M13 | Arbroath · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +0.95 |
| M14 | Partick · Away2 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −0.05 |
| M15 | Dunfermline · Home9 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −1.37 |
| M16 | Ayr · Away16 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −2.55 |
| M17 | Morton · Home23 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.55 | −3.09 |
| M18 | Queens Park · Away30 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | −1.45 |
| M19 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home2 Jan 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +0.04 |
| M20 | Raith Rovers · Home6 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +1.75 |
| M21 | Partick · Home27 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +1.48 |
| M22 | Ayr · Home17 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.51 | −0.03 |
| M23 | Morton · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −1.08 |
| M24 | Dundee United · Away27 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.44 | +1.36 |
| M25 | Queens Park · Home2 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +0.87 |
| M26 | Dunfermline · Away5 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +2.67 |
| M27 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away9 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | +2.48 |
| M28 | Arbroath · Home16 Mar 2024 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.89 | +3.36 |
| M29 | Ayr · Away29 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.47 | +1.89 |
| M30 | Arbroath · Away2 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +3.02 |
| M31 | Morton · Home6 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +4.63 |
| M32 | Raith Rovers · Away9 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.92 | +6.55 |
| M33 | Dunfermline · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +8.04 |
| M34 | Partick · Away20 Apr 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.26 | +6.78 |
| M35 | Dundee United · Home26 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.26 | +7.04 |
| M36 | Queens Park · Away3 May 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | +6.05 |
| Total | 52 | +6.05 | |||