Points
45Points expected by the market
47.75Gap
−2.75Yield
−12.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 15 | −0.46 | −15.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 22 | −5.43 | −35.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 8 | +3.14 | +73.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +0.79 | −1.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 6 | −7.69 | −76.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.37 | +174.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.25 | −44.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 16 | +2.25 | +1.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 5 | +1.77 | +23.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Airdrieonians · Home5 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +1.35 |
| M2 | Dundee United · Away12 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | +1.44 |
| M3 | Raith Rovers · Home26 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | +0.01 |
| M4 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away2 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.24 |
| M5 | Queens Park · Away16 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +1.42 |
| M6 | Morton · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +2.78 |
| M7 | Partick · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.26 | +1.52 |
| M8 | Ayr · Home21 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.73 | −0.20 |
| M9 | Raith Rovers · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −1.34 |
| M10 | Morton · Away3 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +0.38 |
| M11 | Dundee United · Home10 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −0.49 |
| M12 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home18 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.91 |
| M13 | Arbroath · Home28 Nov 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +0.33 |
| M14 | Airdrieonians · Away9 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +1.94 |
| M15 | Partick · Home16 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | +0.55 |
| M16 | Arbroath · Away23 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | −0.22 |
| M17 | Ayr · Away30 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.53 |
| M18 | Raith Rovers · Home2 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.62 |
| M19 | Queens Park · Away5 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −3.21 |
| M20 | Dundee United · Away27 Jan 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.47 | −2.74 |
| M21 | Morton · Home3 Feb 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.36 | −4.10 |
| M22 | Queens Park · Home10 Feb 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.38 | −5.48 |
| M23 | Arbroath · Home17 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.87 | −6.35 |
| M24 | Partick · Away23 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.21 | −4.14 |
| M25 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away27 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | −4.37 |
| M26 | Ayr · Home2 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | −2.84 |
| M27 | Airdrieonians · Home5 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −4.34 |
| M28 | Raith Rovers · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −5.34 |
| M29 | Dundee United · Home15 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.24 | −3.10 |
| M30 | Morton · Away23 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | −1.25 |
| M31 | Arbroath · Away30 Mar 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.10 | −0.15 |
| M32 | Partick · Home6 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.49 |
| M33 | Airdrieonians · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −1.69 |
| M34 | Queens Park · Home20 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | −2.25 |
| M35 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home27 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −2.54 |
| M36 | Ayr · Away3 May 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.20 | −2.75 |
| Total | 45 | −2.75 | |||