Points
42Points expected by the market
46.79Gap
−4.79Yield
−22.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.79 | +38.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −1.80 | −21.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 23 | −4.15 | −28.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 9 | +0.38 | −18.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.79 | +38.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 6 | −1.09 | −1.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 9 | −6.84 | −78.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.66 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.71 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 14 | +2.69 | +32.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 9 | +2.04 | +1.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Queens Park · Home5 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −1.51 |
| M2 | Ayr · Away12 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −2.56 |
| M3 | Airdrieonians · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −3.67 |
| M4 | Dunfermline · Home2 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −4.13 |
| M5 | Raith Rovers · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −5.10 |
| M6 | Dundee United · Home23 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | −6.00 |
| M7 | Arbroath · Away30 Sep 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.80 | −4.20 |
| M8 | Partick · Home7 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −4.50 |
| M9 | Airdrieonians · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −3.06 |
| M10 | Dundee United · Away4 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.44 | −2.61 |
| M11 | Ayr · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.54 | −1.07 |
| M12 | Dunfermline · Away18 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | −1.35 |
| M13 | Raith Rovers · Home2 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −2.64 |
| M14 | Queens Park · Away9 Dec 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.89 | −0.75 |
| M15 | Morton · Away12 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −2.17 |
| M16 | Arbroath · Home16 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.98 | −4.14 |
| M17 | Partick · Away23 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | −4.13 |
| M18 | Morton · Home30 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | −4.66 |
| M19 | Airdrieonians · Away2 Jan 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −5.86 |
| M20 | Ayr · Away6 Jan 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.79 | −4.07 |
| M21 | Dundee United · Home12 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.75 | −4.83 |
| M22 | Raith Rovers · Away27 Jan 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.05 | −2.78 |
| M23 | Queens Park · Home3 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.74 | −4.52 |
| M24 | Partick · Home17 Feb 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.34 | −4.86 |
| M25 | Arbroath · Away24 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −5.57 |
| M26 | Dunfermline · Home27 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | −6.05 |
| M27 | Morton · Away2 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.06 | −4.00 |
| M28 | Airdrieonians · Home9 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | −4.50 |
| M29 | Ayr · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.55 | −6.05 |
| M30 | Dundee United · Away23 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.44 | −5.62 |
| M31 | Partick · Away30 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | −6.57 |
| M32 | Arbroath · Home6 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.79 | −5.78 |
| M33 | Queens Park · Away13 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | −4.15 |
| M34 | Raith Rovers · Home19 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.41 | −5.56 |
| M35 | Dunfermline · Away27 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −5.98 |
| M36 | Morton · Home3 May 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.19 | −4.79 |
| Total | 42 | −4.79 | |||