Points
45Points expected by the market
48.74Gap
−3.74Yield
−11.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.82 | +41.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 16 | +0.76 | +9.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 22 | −4.20 | −33.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.13 | +19.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.82 | +41.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 12 | +0.29 | +18.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −3.06 | −34.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.94 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.47 | −21.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 14 | −1.14 | −32.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.81 | +79.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Ayr · Home5 Aug 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +1.58 |
| M2 | Raith Rovers · Away12 Aug 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.28 | +0.30 |
| M3 | Arbroath · Home26 Aug 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.91 | −1.60 |
| M4 | Partick · Home2 Sep 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.28 | −2.88 |
| M5 | Dundee United · Away16 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.25 | −2.63 |
| M6 | Dunfermline · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.09 | −3.72 |
| M7 | Airdrieonians · Home30 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | −5.24 |
| M8 | Queens Park · Away7 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.25 | −5.49 |
| M9 | Ayr · Away28 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | −3.64 |
| M10 | Raith Rovers · Home31 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −4.92 |
| M11 | Dunfermline · Home3 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −6.35 |
| M12 | Partick · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −7.28 |
| M13 | Arbroath · Away9 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | −5.71 |
| M14 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home12 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | −4.00 |
| M15 | Queens Park · Home16 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −2.57 |
| M16 | Airdrieonians · Away23 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | −2.74 |
| M17 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away30 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | −2.90 |
| M18 | Ayr · Home2 Jan 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −1.46 |
| M19 | Dundee United · Away6 Jan 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.42 | +0.95 |
| M20 | Partick · Home13 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | +0.55 |
| M21 | Arbroath · Home27 Jan 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +1.37 |
| M22 | Dunfermline · Away3 Feb 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +3.00 |
| M23 | Queens Park · Away17 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | +2.46 |
| M24 | Airdrieonians · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +3.80 |
| M25 | Raith Rovers · Away27 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | +3.52 |
| M26 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.79 | +1.73 |
| M27 | Dundee United · Home5 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | +0.65 |
| M28 | Partick · Away16 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −0.59 |
| M29 | Dunfermline · Home23 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | −2.16 |
| M30 | Queens Park · Home30 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | −0.81 |
| M31 | Airdrieonians · Away6 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.31 | −2.13 |
| M32 | Ayr · Away9 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −2.53 |
| M33 | Dundee United · Home12 Apr 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.86 | −3.39 |
| M34 | Arbroath · Away20 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.01 | −2.38 |
| M35 | Raith Rovers · Home27 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | −2.81 |
| M36 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away3 May 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.93 | −3.74 |
| Total | 45 | −3.74 | |||