Points
43Points expected by the market
44.79Gap
−1.79Yield
−19.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 15 | +2.66 | +26.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 21 | −5.31 | −46.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 7 | +0.86 | +10.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 9 | +0.26 | +4.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 8 | −6.25 | −72.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.47 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.40 | +80.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 13 | +0.94 | −17.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 6 | +1.33 | +47.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away5 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +1.78 |
| M2 | Arbroath · Home12 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +2.91 |
| M3 | Arbroath · Away19 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +4.29 |
| M4 | Partick · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.11 | +3.17 |
| M5 | Raith Rovers · Away2 Sep 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.17 | +2.00 |
| M6 | Dunfermline · Home16 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.39 | +0.61 |
| M7 | Ayr · Home22 Sep 2023 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.62 | −1.00 |
| M8 | Dundee United · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.71 | −1.72 |
| M9 | Morton · Home7 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | −2.20 |
| M10 | Airdrieonians · Away20 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | −2.34 |
| M11 | Partick · Home27 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | −2.60 |
| M12 | Ayr · Away4 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.25 | −2.86 |
| M13 | Raith Rovers · Home11 Nov 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.26 | −4.11 |
| M14 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home9 Dec 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.62 | −5.73 |
| M15 | Morton · Away16 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −6.90 |
| M16 | Dundee United · Home22 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.34 | −6.57 |
| M17 | Airdrieonians · Home30 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −7.94 |
| M18 | Partick · Away2 Jan 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.65 | −8.58 |
| M19 | Dunfermline · Home5 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | −6.75 |
| M20 | Raith Rovers · Away13 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.24 | −4.51 |
| M21 | Ayr · Home27 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −5.94 |
| M22 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away3 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.00 | −3.94 |
| M23 | Dunfermline · Away10 Feb 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.65 | −2.29 |
| M24 | Morton · Home17 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | −2.48 |
| M25 | Dundee United · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.49 | −2.97 |
| M26 | Arbroath · Home27 Feb 2024 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.13 | −1.83 |
| M27 | Airdrieonians · Away2 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −2.05 |
| M28 | Partick · Home9 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.18 | −2.23 |
| M29 | Raith Rovers · Home16 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | −2.41 |
| M30 | Ayr · Away23 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | −0.67 |
| M31 | Morton · Away30 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −1.74 |
| M32 | Dundee United · Home6 Apr 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.80 | −2.55 |
| M33 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home13 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | −3.89 |
| M34 | Dunfermline · Away20 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | −4.06 |
| M35 | Arbroath · Away27 Apr 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.03 | −3.03 |
| M36 | Airdrieonians · Home3 May 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −1.79 |
| Total | 43 | −1.79 | |||