Points
29Points expected by the market
36.17Gap
−7.17Yield
−41.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.73 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 22 | +4.34 | +22.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 21 | 7 | −9.78 | −82.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.73 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 17 | +5.18 | +60.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 4 | −2.91 | −53.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −0.84 | −45.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 3 | −6.87 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Raith Rovers · Home3 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +1.56 |
| M2 | Ayr · Away9 Aug 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.10 | +0.47 |
| M3 | Queens Park · Home24 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −1.01 |
| M4 | Hamilton · Away31 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.17 | −1.18 |
| M5 | Falkirk · Home14 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −2.10 |
| M6 | Morton · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −3.31 |
| M7 | Livingston · Away28 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −3.95 |
| M8 | Dunfermline · Home5 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | −4.27 |
| M9 | Partick · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −5.11 |
| M10 | Ayr · Home26 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | −6.07 |
| M11 | Raith Rovers · Away29 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.82 | −6.89 |
| M12 | Hamilton · Home2 Nov 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.36 | −8.25 |
| M13 | Falkirk · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.39 | −8.64 |
| M14 | Dunfermline · Away16 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.75 | −9.39 |
| M15 | Queens Park · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −10.27 |
| M16 | Morton · Home14 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.38 | −10.65 |
| M17 | Livingston · Home17 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.70 | −11.35 |
| M18 | Partick · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −12.14 |
| M19 | Hamilton · Away28 Dec 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −13.13 |
| M20 | Livingston · Away14 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.50 | −13.63 |
| M21 | Dunfermline · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.99 | −11.64 |
| M22 | Queens Park · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | −9.89 |
| M23 | Morton · Away15 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.09 | −9.98 |
| M24 | Partick · Away22 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | −9.93 |
| M25 | Raith Rovers · Home25 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.90 | −8.02 |
| M26 | Ayr · Away1 Mar 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.69 | −8.71 |
| M27 | Falkirk · Home4 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.67 | −9.38 |
| M28 | Hamilton · Home8 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | −7.72 |
| M29 | Livingston · Home15 Mar 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.17 | −7.55 |
| M30 | Falkirk · Away22 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.38 | −7.93 |
| M31 | Queens Park · Away2 Apr 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −6.21 |
| M32 | Partick · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | −4.38 |
| M33 | Raith Rovers · Away12 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −4.38 |
| M34 | Morton · Home19 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.73 | −6.11 |
| M35 | Dunfermline · Away26 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.02 | −6.13 |
| M36 | Ayr · Home2 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −7.17 |
| Total | 29 | −7.17 | |||