Points
63Points expected by the market
57.35Gap
+5.65Yield
+4.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 5 | −1.33 | −50.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 46 | +12.32 | +37.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 4 | −8.44 | −72.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 8 | +3.09 | +52.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 5 | −1.33 | −50.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 29 | +8.99 | +49.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.94 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.06 | +105.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 17 | +3.32 | +20.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 4 | −5.50 | −65.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.03 | +17.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hamilton · Away3 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +1.44 |
| M2 | Airdrieonians · Home9 Aug 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +2.81 |
| M3 | Hamilton · Home17 Aug 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.99 | +3.80 |
| M4 | Raith Rovers · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +4.96 |
| M5 | Dunfermline · Away31 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | +4.27 |
| M6 | Partick · Home14 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | +3.41 |
| M7 | Queens Park · Away21 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | +2.90 |
| M8 | Morton · Home28 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +3.98 |
| M9 | Falkirk · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | +3.00 |
| M10 | Livingston · Home19 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.47 | +1.54 |
| M11 | Airdrieonians · Away26 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +2.76 |
| M12 | Raith Rovers · Away1 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.41 | +1.34 |
| M13 | Morton · Away8 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | +0.63 |
| M14 | Queens Park · Home16 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.37 | +2.01 |
| M15 | Dunfermline · Home23 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +3.29 |
| M16 | Partick · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | +2.19 |
| M17 | Falkirk · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 5-2 | 3 | +2.06 | +4.25 |
| M18 | Livingston · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.93 | +6.17 |
| M19 | Morton · Home28 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.12 | +5.05 |
| M20 | Raith Rovers · Home4 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +6.30 |
| M21 | Dunfermline · Away14 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +7.82 |
| M22 | Partick · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +8.94 |
| M23 | Hamilton · Away1 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +10.04 |
| M24 | Falkirk · Away15 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.08 | +10.12 |
| M25 | Livingston · Home22 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.47 | +8.65 |
| M26 | Airdrieonians · Home1 Mar 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.91 | +9.56 |
| M27 | Queens Park · Away4 Mar 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.38 | +10.94 |
| M28 | Morton · Away8 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.71 | +9.23 |
| M29 | Partick · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.54 | +7.69 |
| M30 | Hamilton · Home22 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.98 | +6.71 |
| M31 | Dunfermline · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +7.92 |
| M32 | Raith Rovers · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | +6.58 |
| M33 | Falkirk · Home11 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | +6.58 |
| M34 | Livingston · Away18 Apr 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.10 | +5.47 |
| M35 | Queens Park · Home26 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.11 | +4.36 |
| M36 | Airdrieonians · Away2 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +5.65 |
| Total | 63 | +5.65 | |||