Points
35Points expected by the market
45.87Gap
−10.87Yield
−35.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 14 | −0.02 | −7.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 12 | −8.21 | −45.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 9 | −2.64 | −41.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +0.37 | −10.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 11 | +0.07 | +1.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 5 | +1.15 | −9.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.39 | +1.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 1 | −8.28 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 4 | −3.78 | −55.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Livingston · Away3 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −0.91 |
| M2 | Falkirk · Home10 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −1.89 |
| M3 | Hamilton · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | −3.02 |
| M4 | Ayr · Home31 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | −3.06 |
| M5 | Raith Rovers · Home13 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.69 | −1.36 |
| M6 | Partick · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −2.40 |
| M7 | Queens Park · Home28 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −3.76 |
| M8 | Airdrieonians · Away5 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | −4.14 |
| M9 | Morton · Home19 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | −4.64 |
| M10 | Falkirk · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.60 | −5.24 |
| M11 | Livingston · Home29 Oct 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −3.49 |
| M12 | Partick · Home2 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | −4.91 |
| M13 | Queens Park · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −6.24 |
| M14 | Airdrieonians · Home16 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.99 | −5.25 |
| M15 | Ayr · Away23 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | −6.25 |
| M16 | Hamilton · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.16 | −5.08 |
| M17 | Raith Rovers · Away14 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −6.21 |
| M18 | Morton · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.45 | −7.66 |
| M19 | Falkirk · Home27 Dec 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.22 | −7.45 |
| M20 | Partick · Away4 Jan 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.02 | −5.43 |
| M21 | Ayr · Home14 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −6.60 |
| M22 | Airdrieonians · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.71 | −8.32 |
| M23 | Raith Rovers · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.54 | −6.78 |
| M24 | Livingston · Away15 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.29 | −6.49 |
| M25 | Queens Park · Home22 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.67 | −7.15 |
| M26 | Hamilton · Away25 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −8.63 |
| M27 | Morton · Home1 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | −7.30 |
| M28 | Falkirk · Away8 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.55 | −7.85 |
| M29 | Raith Rovers · Away14 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −8.92 |
| M30 | Ayr · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.92 | −9.84 |
| M31 | Livingston · Home2 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | −7.90 |
| M32 | Hamilton · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.74 | −9.64 |
| M33 | Queens Park · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −8.32 |
| M34 | Partick · Home19 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | −8.78 |
| M35 | Airdrieonians · Home26 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.71 | −9.49 |
| M36 | Morton · Away2 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −10.87 |
| Total | 35 | −10.87 | |||