Points
70Points expected by the market
60.75Gap
+9.25Yield
+20.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +2.94 | +35.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 21 | 34 | −4.11 | −23.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 17 | +6.11 | +70.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 7 | +4.31 | +180.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +2.94 | +35.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 19 | −1.34 | −16.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.24 | +166.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.99 | +275.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 15 | −2.77 | −30.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 11 | +2.86 | +38.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.32 | +132.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dunfermline · Home3 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +1.19 |
| M2 | Queens Park · Away9 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | +0.79 |
| M3 | Morton · Home24 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.85 | −0.06 |
| M4 | Raith Rovers · Away31 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +1.46 |
| M5 | Hamilton · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +2.65 |
| M6 | Airdrieonians · Home28 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.86 | +3.50 |
| M7 | Partick · Away5 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | +3.14 |
| M8 | Falkirk · Away8 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.18 | +3.33 |
| M9 | Ayr · Away19 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | +5.09 |
| M10 | Raith Rovers · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +6.32 |
| M11 | Dunfermline · Away29 Oct 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.43 | +4.88 |
| M12 | Queens Park · Home2 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | +4.16 |
| M13 | Hamilton · Away9 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +5.55 |
| M14 | Falkirk · Home16 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | +7.54 |
| M15 | Morton · Away7 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.72 | +6.82 |
| M16 | Partick · Home13 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +8.29 |
| M17 | Airdrieonians · Away17 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +9.22 |
| M18 | Ayr · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.64 | +7.58 |
| M19 | Raith Rovers · Away28 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | +6.00 |
| M20 | Queens Park · Away4 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.66 | +4.34 |
| M21 | Airdrieonians · Home14 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.68 | +5.02 |
| M22 | Hamilton · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +5.99 |
| M23 | Falkirk · Away31 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.14 | +8.12 |
| M24 | Dunfermline · Home15 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.03 | +7.09 |
| M25 | Ayr · Away22 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | +8.87 |
| M26 | Morton · Home25 Feb 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.87 | +9.73 |
| M27 | Partick · Away28 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.72 | +9.01 |
| M28 | Raith Rovers · Home5 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.01 | +8.00 |
| M29 | Airdrieonians · Away15 Mar 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.93 | +7.07 |
| M30 | Falkirk · Home25 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +8.85 |
| M31 | Dunfermline · Away2 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | +7.21 |
| M32 | Queens Park · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.54 | +7.74 |
| M33 | Morton · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +8.93 |
| M34 | Ayr · Home18 Apr 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +10.32 |
| M35 | Hamilton · Away26 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +11.29 |
| M36 | Partick · Home2 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.05 | +9.25 |
| Total | 70 | +9.25 | |||