Points
55Points expected by the market
51.05Gap
+3.95Yield
+6.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 27 | −0.98 | −7.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 20 | +3.91 | +10.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 8 | +1.02 | +26.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 21 | +1.36 | +1.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 7 | +0.07 | −38.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.11 | +123.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 6 | −2.34 | −25.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 13 | +3.84 | +45.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.10 | −6.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Morton · Home3 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.79 | −0.79 |
| M2 | Raith Rovers · Away10 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | −1.99 |
| M3 | Falkirk · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −2.88 |
| M4 | Queens Park · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −1.42 |
| M5 | Ayr · Away14 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | −1.33 |
| M6 | Dunfermline · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −0.01 |
| M7 | Hamilton · Away28 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | −1.59 |
| M8 | Livingston · Home5 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | −1.94 |
| M9 | Falkirk · Home12 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | −2.22 |
| M10 | Airdrieonians · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.09 | −1.13 |
| M11 | Queens Park · Away26 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +0.38 |
| M12 | Dunfermline · Away2 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +2.09 |
| M13 | Raith Rovers · Home9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | +1.54 |
| M14 | Hamilton · Home16 Nov 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.97 | +2.52 |
| M15 | Ayr · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +3.91 |
| M16 | Livingston · Away13 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | +2.74 |
| M17 | Airdrieonians · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +3.75 |
| M18 | Queens Park · Home28 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +4.83 |
| M19 | Morton · Away31 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.66 | +3.17 |
| M20 | Dunfermline · Home4 Jan 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.73 | +1.44 |
| M21 | Hamilton · Away10 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +2.89 |
| M22 | Ayr · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.86 | +2.02 |
| M23 | Morton · Home1 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.87 | +1.15 |
| M24 | Falkirk · Away8 Feb 2025 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.75 | +0.40 |
| M25 | Raith Rovers · Away15 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.97 | −0.56 |
| M26 | Airdrieonians · Home22 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | −1.37 |
| M27 | Livingston · Home28 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | −1.38 |
| M28 | Queens Park · Away11 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.24 |
| M29 | Ayr · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +2.06 |
| M30 | Raith Rovers · Home21 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | +1.49 |
| M31 | Morton · Away29 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +3.08 |
| M32 | Airdrieonians · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.55 | +1.53 |
| M33 | Hamilton · Home12 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.74 | −0.21 |
| M34 | Dunfermline · Away19 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.44 |
| M35 | Falkirk · Home25 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.12 | +1.67 |
| M36 | Livingston · Away2 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.28 | +3.95 |
| Total | 55 | +3.95 | |||